Little Rock vs Lindenwood Prediction 3/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Little Rock Trojans and the Lindenwood Lions meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Ford Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions prediction.

Little Rock Trojans Recap

The Little Rock Trojans come into this game as the 7-seed, finishing the year with a 12-19 overall record including a 9-11 in conference play.

Trojans Looking To Begin Climb

Johnathan Lawson leads the Trojans in scoring and assists with 16.2 PPG and 4 APG along with 4 RPG while Cameron Wallace has 12.6 PPG with a team-high 6.9 RPG to lead the Trojans in rebounding. Kachi Nzeh has 11.6 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Braxton Bayless has 10.5 PPG with 4 RPG and 3.4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Little Rock so far this season. Tuongthach Gatkek also has 9.4 PPG with 5.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Little Rock is averaging 70.8 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 68% from the foul line this season.

Lindenwood Lions Recap

The Lindenwood Lions come into this game as the 6-seed, finishing the year at 17-14 overall including an 11-9 mark in OVC conference play. 

Lions Looking To Make Noise In First Year Of NCAA Tournament Eligibility

Anias Futrell leads the Lions in scoring with 17.9 PPG with 6 RPG while Dontrez Williams has 15.3 PPG with 4.7 RPG and Jadis Jones has 15.3 PPG with a team-high 8.5 RPG and 2.7 APG to lead the Lions on the glass. Milos Nenadic has 11.7 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Lindenwood up to this point in the year. Clayton Jackson also has 7.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.7 APG while Mekhi Cooper has 6.6 PPG and a team-high 4.1 APG to lead Lindenwood in assists so far this season. As a team, Lindenwood is averaging 78.3 PPG on 46.1% shooting from the field, 31.4% from three and 68.3% from the foul line this season.

Little Rock Trojans @ Lindenwood Lions Betting Trends: March 4, 2026

Why the Lindenwood Lions will win

• Little Rock has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
• Lindenwood (MO) has won three of its last four games played at neutral venues.
• Little Rock has lost the first half in 10 of its last 12 night games against Conference opponents.

Why the Little Rock Trojans will win

• Lindenwood (MO) has lost four of its last five games.
• Lindenwood (MO) has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Eleven of Little Rock’s last 12 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Four of the last five games between Little Rock and Lindenwood (MO) have produced a total of 153+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Lindenwood (MO) ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.6%).
• Lindenwood (MO) ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.5).
• Little Rock ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
• Little Rock ranks T46th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.4).

Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions Prediction

I’m on Lindenwood here. I think the Lions are going to be motivated in their first year of being eligible to get a crack at the NCAA tournament. Little Rock was hit and miss for much of the year, and I’m not sure I trust the Trojans to be able to keep up in this matchup offensively. Give me Lindenwood to get the win and cover in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Lindenwood -2.5