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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Indiana State Sycamores | Valparaiso Beacons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 11-20 | 17-14 |
| Where | Denny Sanford Premier Center, Sioux Falls, SD | |
| When | Thursday, March 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Valparaiso Beacons Preview
The Valparaiso Beacons have a 17-14 overall record and an 11-9 record in the MVC. They are coming off an 80-79 road loss against Evansville and their previous three games were a 74-71 home win against Drake, a 71-67 road win against UIC and a 79-72 home win against Bradley.
Offensively, Valparaiso averages 71.9 points per game, while allowing 71.2 points per game defensively. The Beacons shoot with 42% from the field and grab 36.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.9 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.
Owen Dease leads Valparaiso in scoring, with an average of 13.2 points per game, while shooting with 46.6% from the field and 84.8% from the free throw line. JT Pettigrew is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game. Rakim Chaney leads the team in assists with 2.8 per game.
Indiana State Sycamores Preview
The Indiana State Sycamores have an 11-20 overall record and a 4-16 record in the MVC. They are coming off a 79-63 home win against UIC and their previous three games were a 66-55 road loss against Southern Illinois, an 87-70 road loss against Belmont and an 81-60 home loss against Northern Iowa.
Offensively, Indiana State averages 73.9 points per game, while allowing 74.8 points per game defensively. The Sycamores shoot with 46% from the field and grab 35 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.5 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 6.3 steals per game defensively.
Ian Scott leads Indiana State in scoring, with an average of 13.6 points per game, while shooting with 63.6% from the field and 72.4% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.5 rebounds. Xavier Hall leads the team in assists with 4.2 per game.
Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction
In this Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Valparaiso is coming as -2.5 favorites. Valparaiso has been the better team this season and have been very strong against the spread with a 20-10 ATS record. They are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they are 6-2 in their last 8 games, while on the other hand, Indiana State has been struggling with a 2-8 record in its last 10 games. Valparaiso has won both meetings against Indiana State this season and I expect them to do so again today in this conference first rounder. Take Valparaiso and lay the -2.5 points.
