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Gonzaga vs San Francisco Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

San Francisco (23-7) vs Gonzaga (22-8)

March 1, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco +9.5 — Over/Under: 156.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Gonzaga Bulldogs and San Francisco Dons meet on Saturday in college basketball action at Chase Center. Here’s a Gonzaga vs San Francisco Prediction. This article will include a Gonzaga vs San Francisco Pick.

Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (22-8, 12-18 ATS) bounced back from a narrow 62-58 road defeat to St. Mary’s with five consecutive victories over Loyola Marymount, Pacific, San Francisco, Pepperdine, and Washington State. Another loss to St. Mary’s came, this time at home, but the Zags destroyed Santa Clara 95-76 on the road. Gonzaga is 3rd in the WCC Standings with the same record as San Francisco and three games behind the best team in the conference – St. Mary’s.

Gonzaga is averaging 87.4 PPG (2nd) and is allowing 69.9 PPG (116th). The Bulldogs are getting 39.0 RPG (32nd) and dish out 19.2 APG (2nd). Graham Ike is the team’s top scorer with 17.1 PPG and a team-high 7.5 RPG. Khalif Battle adds 12.8 PPG, 3.5 RPG, and 1.0 SPG, while Nolan Hickman contributes 11.2, PPG, 2.6 RP, 2.3 APG, and 1.0 SPG. 

San Francisco Dons Betting Preview

The San Francisco Dons (23-7, 15-13-1 ATS) are pretty hot at the moment. The Dons won nine of the previous 11 games, losing to only St. Mary’s and Gonzaga in the process. Following that L against the Zags, San Francisco won three in a row against San Diego, Pacific, and Oregon State. San Francisco is 2nd in the WCC Standings, and considering both the Dons and the Zags cannot climb up to the top spot in the conference, this will be the battle for the No. 2 seed.

San Francisco averages 75.6 PPG (139th) and allows 67.3 PPG (57th). The Dons are 237th in rebounds (34.9) and 189th in assists (13.9). Malik Thomas leads the team with 19.3 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.0 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG. Marcus Williams follows him with 14.7 PPG, 3.7 RPG, a team-high 4.2 APG, and 1.5 SPG, while Tyrone Riley IV has 9.6 PPG, a team-high 5.7 RP, and 1.0 SPG.

Why San Francisco will beat Gonzaga

  • San Francisco has won each of its last 11 Saturday night games against the West Coast Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Francisco ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.84).
  • San Francisco ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.9).
  • Gonzaga ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (32.0).
  • Gonzaga is the only team to ranks in the top five for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.

Gonzaga vs San Francisco Prediction

Although I am leaning toward the Zags here, I must admit I have been impressed with the way the Dons have been playing this year. San Francisco is one of the rare teams with a perfect home record, and even though I am not sure they will maintain it after this game, I am pretty sure the Dons will put up a fight against the team they covered this year. Gonzaga dominates this fixture, but I’ll go with the Dons to cover. San Francisco has covered the Spread in 17 of its last 32 games, while Gonzaga has only covered the Spread in 16 of its last 36 games.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: San Francisco +9.5

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