Georgia State vs Fresno State Prediction 11/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Georgia State vs Fresno State Prediction

In this Georgia State vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -6.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their previous games, as Fresno lost by 16 points in UC San Diego and are looking to bounce back at home. On the flip side, Georgia State had a much easier opponent and won by 50 at home, but have lost both games on the road, having scored just 70 points per game in those two. With Georgia State struggling on the road and Fresno State on a bounce-back situation, I like the value with the home team in this matchup, so take Fresno State and lay the points in this one.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 1-1 overall record and a 0-1 home record and a 1-0 road record. They are coming off a 65-81 road loss against UC San Diego and will face UC Riverside and San Jose State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 76.5 points per game (ranking 222nd in the nation), while allowing 80 points per game defensively (ranking 270th in the nation) and have a 106.5 offensive rating (ranking 229th) and a 111.4 defensive rating (ranking 281st). The Bulldogs are shooting 46.5% from the field (ranking 168th) and 27.5% from beyond the arc (ranking 291st), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 46.8% from the field (ranking 288th) and 41.2% from the 3-point range (ranking 337th). They are shooting with a 63.6% from the free-throw line (ranking 276th). They are grabbing 39.5 rebounds per game (ranking 142nd) and allow 34.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (172nd), while averaging 14 assists per game (ranking 218th) and allowing their opponents to dish 11 assists per game (96th). They average 5 blocks per game (ranking 74th) and 5 steals per game (ranking 305th), while committing 13 turnovers per game (ranking 194th) and forcing their opponents into 11 turnovers per game (ranking 278th).

Dragos Lungu leads Fresno State in scoring, averaging 24 ppg on 51.4% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 6 rebounds per game. Ross Candelino follows with 15.5 ppg on 32.1% shooting from the field. Bradey Henige follows with 14 ppg on 82.4% shooting from the field. Roger Fabrega Urpina leads the team in assists with 6 per game.

Georgia State Panthers Preview

The Georgia State Panthers have a 1-2 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 0-2 road record. They are coming off a 111-61 home win against Andrew College and will face Norfolk State and Jacksonville State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 83.7 points per game (ranking 145th in the nation), while allowing 71.3 points per game defensively (ranking 183rd in the nation) and have a 116.6 offensive rating (ranking 137th) and a 99.4 defensive rating (ranking 190th). The Panthers are shooting 47.4% from the field (ranking 150th) and 35.2% from beyond the arc (ranking 138th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 42.8% from the field (ranking 209th) and 30.6% from the 3-point range (ranking 167th). They are shooting with a 58.9% from the free-throw line (ranking 334th). They are grabbing 40 rebounds per game (ranking 131st) and allow 34.7 rebounds per game off their opponents (183rd), while averaging 14.7 assists per game (ranking 198th) and allowing their opponents to dish 11.7 assists per game (131st). They average 5.3 blocks per game (ranking 69th) and 4.7 steals per game (ranking 323rd), while committing 10.7 turnovers per game (ranking 102nd) and forcing their opponents into 10.7 turnovers per game (ranking 296th).

Jaden Jackson leads Georgia State in scoring, averaging 17 ppg on 40% shooting from the field. Jacob Meyer follows with 15.3 ppg on 41% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 6.3 assists per game. Jacolb Fredson-Cole follows with 14.3 ppg on 60% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 10.3 rebounds per game.

Georgia State Panthers @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: November 10, 2026

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• Georgia State has lost 18 of its last 19 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Fresno State has won seven of its last eight night games at Save Mart Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• Fresno State has lost seven of its last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Fresno State’s last five home night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
• Five of Georgia State’s last six road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State -6.5