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Florida vs LSU Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

LSU (14-12) vs Florida (23-3)

February 22, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: LSU +10.5 — Over/Under: 152.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Gators are visiting the LSU Fighting Tigers on Saturday, February 22nd at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Gators vs LSU Fighting Tigers Prediction. We will examine:

The LSU Fighting Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The Florida Gators’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the LSU Fighting Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Florida Gators

Recent betting trends in games played between the Florida Gators and LSU Fighting Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Florida Gators vs LSU Fighting Tigers game

LSU Fighting Tigers Preview

The LSU Fighting Tigers have a 14-12 record this season and are sitting in 14th place in the SEC. LSU is coming off an 81-67 win over South Carolina. The Fighting Tigers are 13-13 against the spread, and 13-13 in over/under while having an 11-4 home record.

Offensively, LSU is averaging 76.6 points per game, which ranks 108th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.2 points per game (199th). The Fighting Tigers shoot 45.7% from the field (125th) and 31.7% from beyond the arc (299th). The Fighting Tigers shoot 73% from the free-throw line (144th) and are grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game (104th).

Camryn Carter leads LSU in scoring with an average of 17.3 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Jordan Sears adds 12.5 points and 2.9 rebounds per game.

Florida Gators Preview

The Florida Gators have a 23-3 record this season and are sitting in second place in the SEC. Florida is coming off an 85-63 win over Oklahoma. The Gators are 19-7 against the spread, and 10-15-1 in over/under while having a 5-2 road record.

Offensively, Florida is averaging 83.8 points per game, which is the 11th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.4 points per game (38th). The Gators shoot 47% from the field (70th) and 35.2% from beyond the arc (114th). The Gators shoot 71.8% from the free throw line (189th) and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game, which is the third-best in the nation.

Walter Clayton leads Florida in scoring this season, with an average of 17.2 points, 3.6 rebounds, and a team-high 4.2 assists, while Alijah Martin adds 15 points and 4.8 rebounds per game.

Why the LSU Tigers will win

  • LSU has won 12 of its last 15 day games at Pete Maravich Assembly Center following a home win.
  • The home team has won the first half in four of LSU’s last five games.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • Florida has won 20 of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • LSU has lost each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • LSU has lost the first half in each of its last 10 day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida’s last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
  • Six of LSU’s last seven day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • LSU ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.1).
  • Florida ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.0).
  • Florida ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (28.4%).

Florida Gators vs LSU Fighting Tigers Prediction

Florida is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against LSU, and are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their 4 meetings, and in their previous meeting last season, Florida won 82-80 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went under the point total. 

In this Florida Gators vs LSU Fighting Tigers Prediction, Florida is coming as a -10.5 road favorites. Florida is rightfully favored, as they have been the far better team this season, and have also been very good on the road. The Gators are in great form lately, as they are 8-1 in their last 9 games and 5-0 against the spread in their last 5. On the other hand, LSU is 2-7 in their last 9 games and 3-4 against the spread. The value here lies with the road team, so take the Florida Gators and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Florida Gators -10.5

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