Florida State vs Duke Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

The Florida State Seminoles and Duke Blue Devils meet on Saturday in college basketball action at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Here’s a Florida State vs Duke Prediction. This article will include a Florida State vs Duke Pick.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles (16-12, 15-13 ATS) responded to a four-game losing skid with a pair of wins over Notre Dame and Wake Forest. However, the Seminoles did lose three of the next four, managing to beat only Miami along the way. The most recent loss to North Carolina at home was a painful one because Florida State allowed a season-high 96 points. Florida State is 9th in the ACC Standings with the same record as Pitt, Virginia, and Virginia Tech. FSU can go down a few spots with a potential loss here, while the Seminoles cannot improve to better than the 8th for the remainder of the regular season.

Florida State is averaging 75.8 PPG (133rd) and is allowing 72.3 PPG (199th). The Seminoles are getting 34.7 RPG (253rd) and dish out 13.5 APG (220th). Jamir Watkins is the team’s top scorer with 18.4 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 2.1 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Malique Ewin adds 14.0 PPG and a team-high 7.8 RPG, while Daquan Davis contributes 8.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, a team-high 2.6 AP, and 1.1 SPG. 

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils (25-3, 18-10 ATS) are one of the best teams in college basketball this year. Following a fantastic 16-game winning streak, which ended with a 77-71 loss at Clemson, the Blue Devils continued where they left off with five more victories. Duke beat Cal, Stanford, Virginia, Illinois, and Miami, but the Devils still haven’t cemented their place at the top of the ACC. Duke is 1st with a win ahead of Clemson and Louisville, so there will be no relaxing for the hosts here.

Duke averages 82.6 PPG (20th) and allows 61.0 PPG (8th). The Blue Devils are 51st in rebounds (38.3) and 18th in assists (17.2). Cooper Flagg leads the team in pretty much every category including 19.4 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.5 SPG, and 1.1 BPG. Kon Knueppel follows him with 13.5 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 2.4 APG, while Tyrese Proctor has 11.8 PPG, 3.2 RPG, and 2.3 APG. 

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

• Duke has won each of its last 15 games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
• Florida State has lost each of its last seven games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
• Florida State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Duke’s last seven night games at Cameron Indoor Stadium have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
• Five of Florida State’s last six night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Florida State vs Duke Prediction

Duke won eight of the previous nine H2H duels, including the last three, covering each in the process. The Blue Devils are 18-10 ATS this year, and considering they need to get a win here in order to preserve their top spot in the conference, I expect them to dismantle the Seminoles. Florida State lost five of the last six away games and is facing the unbeaten Duke at its court – the mission impossible for the Seminoles. Florida State has only covered the Spread in 5 of its last 15 away games, while Duke has covered the Spread in 24 of its last 37 games. Go with Duke.