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Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction 2/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Evansville Purple Aces | Valparaiso Beacons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-18 | 11-12 |
| Where | Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN | |
| When | Friday, February 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Valparaiso Beacons Preview
The Valparaiso Beacons have an 11-12 overall record this season and a 5-7 record in the MVC. They are coming off a 72-65 away loss against Bradley and their previous three games were a 76-72 overtime away win against Indiana State, a 78-77 home win against Belmont and a 69-63 home win against Southern Illinois.
Offensively, Valparaiso averages 71.1 points per game, while allowing 70.3 points per game defensively. The Beacons shoot with 41% from the field and grab 36.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.3 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 6.2 steals per game defensively.
Owen Dease leads Valparaiso in scoring, with an average of 14.2 points per game, while shooting with 49.1% from the field and 85.3% from the free throw line. JT Pettigrew is the team’s leading rebounder with 6 per game, while Rakim Chaney leads the team in assists with 2.9 per game.
Evansville Purple Aces Preview
The Evansville Purple Aces have a 5-18 overall record this season and a 1-11 record in the MVC. They are coming off an 84-63 home loss against Indiana State and their previous three games were a 71-55 away loss against Northern Iowa, an 82-78 away loss against Drake and a 76-49 away loss against UIC.
Offensively, Evansville averages 67 points per game, while allowing 74.5 points per game defensively. The Purple Aces shoot with 43% from the field and grab 32.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.2 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively.
AJ Casey leads Evansville in scoring, with an average of 11.2 points per game, while shooting with 51.9% from the field and 71.1% from the free throw line, also leading the team in rebounds with 5.4 per game, while Leif Moeller leads the team in assists with 4 per game.
Evansville Purple Aces @ Valparaiso Beacons Betting Trends: February 6, 2026
Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win
- Evansville has lost each of its last nine night games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won nine of Valparaiso’s last 11 games.
- Valparaiso has won the first half in eight of its last nine night games against Evansville.
Why the Evansville Purple Aces will win
- Evansville has won each of its last four games against Valparaiso.
- Valparaiso has lost six of its last eight night games.
- Valparaiso has lost the first half in each of its last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between Evansville and Valparaiso have produced a total of 140+ points.
- Six of Evansville’s last seven night games have produced a total of 144+ points.
Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction
In this Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction, Valparaiso is coming as -10.5 home favorites. Valparaiso has been the better team this season, as they have more than twice the number of overall wins than Evansville and have been excellent against the spread this season. They are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 games and are facing a struggling Evansville squad that is 1-9 in its last 10 games and 3-6 against the spread, while sitting on the bottom-15 of the entire nation in points scored. The value here lies with the home team, so take Valparaiso and lay the points.
