East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

The Citadel (5-23) vs East Tennessee State (18-12)

March 1, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: The Citadel +11.5 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers and The Citadel Bulldogs meet Saturday in college basketball action at the McAlister Field House. Here’s a East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Prediction. This article will include a East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Pick.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers Betting Preview 

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers are coming off wins over Wofford and Mercer. East Tennessee State is playing its best ball of the season with wins in six of its last eight games.

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers are averaging 72 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 66.3 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Quimari Peterson is averaging 19.3 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Jaden Seymour is averaging 16.3 points and 2.2 assists. John Buggs III is the third double-digit scorer and Karon Boyd is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The East Tennessee State Buccaneers are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 66.3 percent from the free throw line. The East Tennessee State Buccaneers are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.

The Citadel Bulldogs Betting Preview 

The Citadel Bulldogs are coming off losses to Furman and Chattanooga. The Citadel hasn’t won a game since December 3 and hasn’t beaten a Division One team since November 11. 

The Citadel Bulldogs are averaging 66.8 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 74.9 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Brody Fox is averaging 16.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Keynan Davis is averaging 9.2 points and 3.2 rebounds. Sola Adebisi is dishing 1.3 assists and Cameron Glover is grabbing 1.7 rebounds. The Citadel Bulldogs are shooting 29.8 percent from beyond the arc and 62.5 percent from the free throw line. The Citadel Bulldogs are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.

Why the The Citadel Bulldogs will win

  • The home team has won three of The Citadel’s last four games.
  • East Tennessee State has lost three of its last four day games following a home win.

Why the East Tennessee State Buccaneers will win

  • The Citadel has lost each of its last 20 games against the Southern Conference.
  • East Tennessee State has won eight of its last nine games at McAlister Field House against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • East Tennessee State has won the first half in each of its last nine road games against The Citadel.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of East Tennessee State’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents at McAlister Field House have produced a total of 144+ points.
  • Each of The Citadel’s last eight home games against East Tennessee State have produced a total of 144+ points.

East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Injury Report

Neither East Tennessee State nor The Citadel have a player listed on its injury report.

East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Prediction

I’m not excited to lay double-digit chalk with East Tennessee State on the road, but this line says more about The Citadel than anything else. The Citadel Bulldogs haven’t won a game since December and haven’t beaten a Division One team since November. The Citadel Bulldogs are also 9-15 ATS on the season. There is zero betting value with The Citadel. There are better options out there on a stacked CBB card but if forced to pick, I’m going to lay the points with East Tennessee State, as a fade of The Citadel more than anything. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: East Tennessee State -11.5

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