Duke vs Kansas Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/26/24

Pick details

Kansas (5-0) vs Duke (4-1)

Game Info: Tuesday, November 26, 2024 at 9:00 pm (T-Mobile Arena)

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas +3.5 / Duke -3.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Duke Blue Devils are visiting the Kansas Jayhawks on Tuesday, November 26th at the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Duke Blue Devils vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction.

Kansas Jayhawks Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks have a perfect 5-0 record this season and are coming off an 84-66 win over UNC Wilmington. The Jayhawks are 2-3 against the spread, and 1-4 in over/under while having a 4-0 home record.

Offensively, Kansas is averaging 83.6 points per game, which ranks 70th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 67.6 points per game (115th). The Jayhawks shoot 51.6% from the field (20th) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (165th). The Jayhawks shoot 68.3% from the free throw line (241st) and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game (149th).

Hunter Dickinson leads Kansas in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points and a team-high 10.4 rebounds, while Zeke Mayo adds 12.6 points and 5.2 rebounds. Kansas will meet Furman after this game.

Duke Blue Devils Preview

The Duke Blue Devils have a 4-1 record this season and are coming off a 69-55 win in Arizona. The Blue Devils are 4-1 against the spread, and 2-3 in over/under while having a 1-0 road record. 

Offensively, Duke is averaging 84.6 points per game, which ranks 51st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 57.4 points per game, which is the 12th-best nationally. The Blue Devils shoot 47% from the field (118th) and 37% from beyond the arc (82nd). The Blue Devils shoot 73.4% from the free-throw line (110th) and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game, which is the 14th-best in the nation.

Cooper Flagg leads Duke in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 9 and in assists made with 3.8. Kon Knueppel adds 14.4 points and 4.6 rebounds. Duke will face Seattle and Auburn following this one.

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

  • Duke has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents.
  • Kansas has lost three of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Duke has won the first half in each of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win

  • Kansas has won each of its last nine night games against non-conference opponents.
  • Kansas has won the first half in each of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirteen of Duke’s last 14 games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
  • Nine of Kansas’ last 10 night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Duke ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (34.7%).
  • Duke ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.4).
  • Kansas ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (2.15).
  • Kansas ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (32.6).

Duke Blue Devils vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction

Kansas leads Duke 4-2 wins in their last 6 meetings, and are 4-2 against the spread. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings. In this Duke Blue Devils vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, Duke is coming as a -3.5 road favorite. This is a high-caliber matchup between two of the best teams in the nation. Both teams have elite offenses, scoring 83.6 and 84.6 points per game, but Duke boasts a superior defense, as they are 12th-best in the nation and allow 10.2 points less than Kansas. Kansas shoots better from the field, while Duke shoots better from the perimeter, but Duke is also elite in rebounding, ranking 14th in the nation. Duke has the edge in this matchup, so pick the Duke Blue Devils and lay the points on the road.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Duke Blue Devils -3.5

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