CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners are visiting the Cal Poly Mustangs on Saturday, March 1st at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction. We will examine:

The Cal Poly Mustangs recent form and player performance

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Recent betting trends in games played between Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersand Cal Poly Mustangs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Cal Poly Mustangs game

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 11-18 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the Big West. They are coming off a 77-96 loss in UCSB. The Mustangs are 13-15 against the spread, and 18-10 in over/under, while having a 7-5 home record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 80.4 points per game, which is 40th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 84.3 points per game, which is the second-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot with 45.4% from the field (145th), and with 34% from beyond the arc (185th). The Mustangs shoot with 76% from the free throw line (51st), and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (183rd).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 17.1 points and a team-high 5.1 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 13.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and a team-high 3.1 assists per game.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Preview

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners have a 13-17 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Big West. They are coming off an 88-87 win in Long Beach State. The Roadrunners are 10-17-1 against the spread, and 17-100-1 in over/under, while having a 4-10 road record. 

Offensively, Cal State Bakersfield is averaging 74 points per game, which ranks 194th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.2 points per game (219th). The Roadrunners shoot with 44.1% from the field (225th), and with 38.9% from beyond the arc, which is the 13th-best in the nation. The Roadrunners shoot with 77.1% from the free-throw line (31st), and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (181st).

Jemel Jones leads Cal State Bakersfield in scoring this season, with an average of 18.9 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Corey Stephenson adds 12.1 points and a team-high 5.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Cal State Bakersfield has lost each of its last six games following a road win.
• Cal Poly has won three of its last four home games.
• Cal State Bakersfield has lost the first half in 13 of its last 14 Saturday road games against the Big West Conference.

Why the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners will win

• Cal Poly has lost 27 of its last 29 day games against the Big West Conference.
• The road team has won four of Cal State Bakersfield’s last five games.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in 16 of its last 18 home games against the Big West Conference.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

Cal State Bakersfield is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Cal Poly, and are 7-1-2 against the spread. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Cal Poly won 90-81 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total. 

In this Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, Cal Poly is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, but Cal Poly has been above average at home, while Cal State Bakersfield has been very bad on the road. Cal Poly is 5-4 in their last 9 games and 6-3 against the spread, while Cal State Bakersfield is 3-7 in their last 10 and 3-7 against the spread. Cal Poly has already won against Cal State Bakersfield this season, and given their current form, they have value in this matchup. I expect the hosts to get the job done, so give me the Cal Poly Mustangs and the points at home.