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Creighton vs Xavier Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Xavier (18-10) vs Creighton (20-8)

March 1, 2025 at 04:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Xavier -1.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Creighton Bluejays are visiting the Xavier Musketeers on Saturday, Match 1st at the Cintas Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Creighton Bluejays vs Xavier Musketeers Prediction. We will examine:

The Xavier Musketeers recent form and player performance

The Creighton Bluejays recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Xavier Musketeers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Creighton Bluejays

Recent betting trends in games played between Creighton Bluejays and Xavier Musketeers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Creighton Bluejays vs Xavier Musketeers game

Xavier Musketeers Preview

The Xavier Musketeers have a 18-10 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the Big East. Xavier is coming off a 73-66 win in Seton Hall. The Musketeers are 15-13 against the spread, and 13-14-1 in over/under, while having a 13-2 home record.

Offensively, Xavier is averaging 77.1 points per game, which ranks 91st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.4 points per game (139th). The Musketeers shoot with 45.9% from the field (116th), and with 38.3% from beyond the arc, which is the 18th-best in the nation. The Musketeers shoot with 79% from the free throw line, which is the 8th-best nationally, and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game (274th).

Zach Freemantle leads Xavier in scoring this season, with an average of 16.6 points and a team-high 7.1 rebounds, while Ryan Conwell adds 15.7 points per game.

Creighton Bluejays Preview

The Creighton Bluejays have a 20-8 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the Big East. They are coming off a 75-65 win over DePaul. The Bluejays are 16-10-2 against the spread, and 12-16 in over/under, while having a 5-4 road record.

Offensively, Creighton is averaging 75.3 points per game, which ranks 140th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.6 points per game (82nd). The Bluejays shoot with 47.2% from the field (56th), and with 33.8% from beyond the arc (200th). The Bluejays shoot with 74.3% from the free-throw line (102nd), and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game (53rd).

Ryan Kalkbrenner leads Creighton in scoring with an average of 18.9 points and a team-high 8.7 rebounds, while Steven Ashworth adds 17 points, 4.1 rebounds and a team-high 6.9 assists per game.

Why the Xavier Musketeers will win


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  • Xavier has won each of its last 10 day games at Cintas Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Creighton has lost three of its last four games at Cintas Center.
  • Xavier has won the first half in each of its last nine day games at Cintas Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Creighton Bluejays will win

  • Creighton has won each of its last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Creighton has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Creighton Bluejays vs Xavier Musketeers Prediction

Creighton is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against vs Xavier, and are 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over/under is 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Creighton won 86-77 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Creighton Bluejays vs Xavier Musketeers Prediction, Xavier is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have similar records so far this season, but Xavier has been excellent at home, while Creighton has been mediocre on the road. Both teams have been playing good basketball lately, as Xavier is 4-0 in their last 4 games, and Creighton is 8-2 in their last 10, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 10-3 to the over in their last 13 games combined. Their previous meeting this season also went over the total with 163 total points, and I expect more of the same today. Take the over the point total.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 148.5

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