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Colorado State vs Utah State Prediction 2/11/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Utah State (21-3) vs Colorado State (15-8)

February 11, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Utah State -6 — Over/Under: 147.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado State Rams are visiting the Utah State Aggies on Tuesday, February 11th at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado State Rams vs Utah State Aggies Prediction. We will examine:

The Utah State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The Colorado State Rams’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado State Rams

Recent betting trends in games played between the Colorado State Rams and Utah State Aggies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado State Rams vs Utah State Aggies game

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 21-3 record this season and are sitting in second place in the Mountain West. Utah State is coming off an 89-81 win over Fresno State. The Aggies are 10-13 against the spread, and 10-11-2 in over/under, while having an 11-2 home record.

Offensively, Utah State is averaging 81.4 points per game, which is the 31st-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.8 points per game (90th). The Aggies shoot 49.4% from the field, which is the 10th-best in the nation, and 35.5% from beyond the arc (99th). The Aggies shoot 69.5% from the free-throw line (260th) and are grabbing 35.2 rebounds per game (196th).

Ian Martinez leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 17 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Mason Falsley adds 14.5 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 6.3 and in assists made, with 3.8 per game.

Colorado State Rams Preview

The Colorado State Rams have a 15-8 record this season and are sitting in third place in the Mountain West. Colorado State is coming off a 68-63 win over San Diego State. The Rams are 11-12 against the spread, and 12-10-1 in over/under while having a 4-3 road record. 

Offensively, Colorado State is averaging 73.5 points per game, which ranks 208th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.4 points per game (79th). The Rams shoot 46.1% from the field (108th) and 32.4% from beyond the arc (271st). The Rams shoot 78.2% from the free throw line (14th) and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game (151st).

Nique Clifford leads Colorado State in scoring this season, with an average of 17.4 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 9.8 and in assists made with 4.1 per game. Jalen Lake adds 12.1 points and 2.9 rebounds per game. Colorado State will meet Wyoming, Nevada, and UNLV after this game.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won 31 of its last 34 games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Colorado State has lost each of its last three night games following a home win.
  • Utah State has won the first half in 15 of its last 16 Tuesday home games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Colorado State Rams will win

  • Colorado State has won five of its last six games.
  • Colorado State has won the first half in five of its last six games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Utah State’s last 10 Tuesday night home games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Fourteen of Colorado State’s last 16 games have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.4).
  • Utah State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.4%).
  • Colorado State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.2%).
  • Colorado State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.7%).

Colorado State Rams vs Utah State Aggies Prediction

Colorado State is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against Utah State, while Utah State is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 5-1-1 in their previous 7 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Colorado State won 75-55 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Colorado State Rams vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Utah State is coming as a -6 home favorites. Utah State is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team throughout the season, and have been extremely strong at home. The Aggies are 8-2 in their last 10 games but are just 2-8 against the spread. On the other hand, Colorado State is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, and I expect them to keep this one close in their current form. Take the Colorado State Rams and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Colorado State Rams +6

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