Cincinnati vs Dayton Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Cincinnati vs Dayton Prediction

I’m going to stay with Cincinnati. The Bearcats need to bounce back from a tight loss to Minnesota in their last game, though. Cincinnati fell on a buzzer-beating 3-pointer there; otherwise they’d be unbeaten so far. That said, the Bearcats didn’t exactly play their best in the 63-61 defeat, shooting just 24 percent (7-of-29) from outside along with a 40-28 rebounding deficit. Cincinnati has been good defensively so far though, giving up fewer than 65 points in all three outings. This matchup is a good one for the Bearcats to get their proverbial mojo back, and I think they’ll do well.

As for Dayton, they’re coming off their second loss in three games, a 10-point affair versus Siena. The Flyers shot well in that one with 55 percent from the field, and they were competitive on the boards 37-37. That said, Dayton’s 18 turnovers and 45 percent shooting allowed on defense kept them from controlling the game. The good news for the Flyers is that they’ve scored 76 or more points in all three games so far. The bad news is that they’ve given up 81 or more in consecutive games (both losses, though one was buoyed by overtime).

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Dayton Flyers meet Saturday in college basketball action from UD Arena in Dayton. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Cincinnati vs Dayton prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Cincinnati vs Dayton pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Bearcats opened up the season with a sizable win, taking out American 79-53 at home. Cincinnati shot 42 percent from the field in that one with 72 percent (13-of-18) at the line and a 48-32 rebounding edge. On defense the Bearcats gave up just 28 percent shooting from the field. In game two Cincinnati bagged another home win at Fifth Third Arena, taking it 81-64 over visiting Green Bay. In that one the Bearcats shot 49 percent from the field with a 29-25 rebounding advantage and just nine turnovers. Cincinnati did give up quite a bit on defense however, allowing 48 percent shooting to the Phoenix.

The Bearcats took their first loss of the year in their latest outing, falling 63-61 versus Minnesota. In that game Cincinnati was led by Tyler Riley with 25 points, five rebounds and three assists. Tyler Tejada was the only other team player in double-digits with 10 points, three rebounds and three assists.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

Over on the Dayton side, they opened the season with a pretty routine blowout win over visiting NJIT. The Flyers shot 48 percent from the field in that one with 86 percent (18-of-21) at the line and a 50-28 rebounding edge. Dayton held the Highlanders to just 34 percent shooting on defense as well. As for game two, that one was the Flyers first loss 81-76 in overtime versus Northern Illinois. Dayton shot pretty well on 45 percent from the field but hit just two of their 17 shots (12 percent) from 3-point range. The Flyers’ 43-29 rebounding deficit didn’t help either. Matched up against Siena for game three, the Flyers took another loss. This one was a 99-89 affair.

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: November 14, 2026

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won 34 of its last 38 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won five of its last six games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
• Dayton has lost five of its last six games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Dayton has lost the first half in four of its last five games at University of Dayton Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats TBA