Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction 1/9/25 College Basketball Picks

The Cal Poly Mustangs are visiting the UC-San Diego Tritons on Thursday, January 9th at the LionTree Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction. We will examine:

The UC-San Diego Tritons’ recent form and player performance

The Cal Poly Mustangs’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-San Diego Tritons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends in games played between Cal Poly Mustangs and UC-San Diego Tritons

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC-San Diego Tritons game

UC-San Diego Tritons Preview

The UC-San Diego Tritons have a 13-2 record this season and are sitting in second place in the Big West. UC-San Diego is coming off a 90-51 win over Cal State Fullerton. The Tritons are 10-3 against the spread, and 6-7 in over/under, while having a 5-1 home record.

Offensively, UC San Diego is averaging 81.1 points per game, which ranks 63rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 61.8 points per game, which is the 13th-best nationally. The Tritons shoot 46% from the field (133rd) and 35.9% from beyond the arc (83rd). The Tritons shoot 73.5% from the free-throw line (127th) and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game (270th).

Tyler McGhie leads UC-San Diego in scoring this season, with 18.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones adds 17.6 points and a team-high 5.3 rebounds.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 6-10 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 55-68 loss to Hawaii. The Mustangs are 6-9 against the spread, and 11-4 in over/under while having a 2-8 road record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 82.4 points per game, which is 44th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 85.7 points per game, which is the 5th-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot 46.1% from the field (131st) and 33.8% from beyond the arc (185th). The Mustangs shoot 75.6% from the free-throw line (62nd) and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game (142nd).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 17.9 points and a team-high 5.4 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 15.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and a team-high 3.1 assists

Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win

• Cal Poly has lost each of its last 25 games against the Big West Conference.
• UC San Diego has won each of its last 11 games.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• The road team has won four of UC San Diego’s last five games.
• The road team has won the first half in three of the last four games between Cal Poly and UC San Diego.

Total Points Facts

• Thirty-five of Cal Poly’s last 38 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
• Fourteen of UC San Diego’s last 16 night games against Conference opponents at LionTree Arena have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UC San Diego ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.59).
• UC San Diego ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (11.2).
• Cal Poly ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (10.8).
• Cal Poly ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).

Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction

UC-San Diego has won their last three meetings against Cal Poly, but Cal Poly is 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, UC-San Diego won 92-87 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the total. In this Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction, UC-San Diego is coming as -15 home favorites. UC San Diego has been the superior team throughout the season, winning their opponents by an average of 19.7 points, while the Mustangs are losing by 3.3 points. The Tritons are 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games, while the Mustangs are 0-7 against the spread in their last 7. Take the UC San Diego Tritons and lay the points at home.