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Cal Irvine vs UC Davis Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

UC Davis (15-14) vs Cal Irvine (25-5)

March 6, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: UC Davis +7.5 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UC-Irvine Anteaters are visiting the UC-Davis Aggies on Thursday, March 6th at the University Credit Union Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC-Irvine Anteaters vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction. We will examine:

The UC-Davis Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The UC-Irvine Anteaters’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-Davis Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-Irvine Anteaters

Recent betting trends in games played between the UC-Irvine Anteaters and UC-Davis Aggies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UC-Irvine Anteaters vs UC-Davis Aggies game

UC-Davis Aggies Preview

The UC-Davis Aggies have a 15-14 record this season and are sitting in 6th place in the Big West. The Aggies are coming off a 70-78 loss to Hawaii. The Aggies are 15-11-1 against the spread, and 11-16-1 in over/under, while having an 8-4 home record.

Offensively, UC-Davis is averaging 68.4 points per game, which ranks 316th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.2 points per game (92nd). The Aggies shoot 41.5% from the field (335th) and 32.1% from beyond the arc (289th). The Aggies shoot 74.1% from the free-throw line (108th) and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game (285th).

TY Johnson leads UC-Davis in scoring this season, with 21.6 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba adds 10.9 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.

UC-Irvine Anteaters Preview

The UC Irvine Anteaters have a 25-5 record this season and are sitting in second place in the Big West. They are coming off a 70-60 win over Long Beach State. The Anteaters are 18-11 against the spread, and 11-18 in over/under, while having a 12-3 road record.

Offensively, UC-Irvine is averaging 74.6 points per game, which ranks 161st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65 points per game (22nd). The Anteaters shoot 44.7% from the field (183rd) and 34.5% from beyond the arc (157th). The Anteaters shoot 79.3% from the free-throw line, which is the 6th-best in the nation, and are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game (34th).

Bent Leuchten leads UC-Irvine in scoring with an average of 15.6 points and a team-high 8.9 rebounds, while Devin Tillis adds 12.7 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

Why the UC Davis Aggies will win

  • The home team has won each of the last four games between UC Irvine and UC Davis.
  • UC Davis has won the first half in each of its last three games against UC Irvine.

Why the UC Irvine Anteaters will win

  • UC Irvine has won 17 of its last 18 road night games against the Big West Conference.
  • UC Davis has lost each of its last four games.
  • UC Irvine has won the first half in each of its last six night games against UC Davis.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-two of UC Davis’ last 25 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at University Credit Union Center have produced a total of 134+ points.
  • Twenty-three of UC Irvine’s last 29 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UC Davis ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.5).
  • UC Davis ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.82).
  • UC Irvine ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (79.3%).
  • UC Irvine ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (9.7).

UC-Irvine Anteaters vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction

UC-Irvine is 8-1 in their last 4 meetings against UC Davis, but UC Davis is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, UC-Irvine won 73-66 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this UC-Irvine Anteaters vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction, UC-Irvine is coming as a -7.5 road favorites. UC-Irvine is rightfully favored, as they have a superior record this season, and have been extremely strong on the road, but UC-Davis has been strong at home as well. UC Davis has been struggling lately, coming off four consecutive losses, and are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games. On the other hand, UC-Irvine is 8-2 in their last 10 games and are 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 games. Don’t over-complicate this, take the better team in better form, and that is the UC-Irvine Anteaters, so lay the points with them on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UC-Irvine Anteaters -7.5

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