Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Buffalo Bulls and the Ball State Cardinals meet Wednesday in college basketball action from Worthen Arena in Muncie. Here’s a Buffalo vs Ball State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Buffalo vs Ball State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview

The Bulls were looking pretty darn good at the 15-game mark this year, sporting a 13-2 record with losses to only St. Bonaventure and East Carolina. Buffalo has losses to Ohio, Kent State, Miami-Ohio, Akron, UMass, Ohio, Miami-Ohio and South Alabama since then (with a win over Bowling Green), giving the team a 14-10 overall record across their first 24 games of the year.

In the South Alabama matchup on Saturday the Bulls were in trouble at the break on a 40-24 deficit. Buffalo had a better second half with a 45-41 advantage but ended up losing on the road in the end by a margin of 81-69. Angelo Brizzi put up 26 points with three rebounds to lead the way and Ryan Sabol added 23 points with eight rebounds and three assists.

Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview

Over on the Ball State side, it’s been a rough year so far. The Cards won just four of their first 17 games over Louisiana, Mansfield, Le Moyne and Earlham College. The next six were a 4-2 run though, featuring wins over Ohio, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois and Louisiana-Monroe alongside losses to Toledo and Bowling Green. In the first 23 games this year that gives the Cardinals an 8-15 run.

Matched up against LA-Monroe last weekend, the Cardinals entered the second half with a 36-27 advantage. Ball State was outscored 41-37 the rest of the way but still managed to hang on and power out a 73-68 win on the road. Kayden Fish topped the team with 17 points and six rebounds while Davion Hill added 14 points with four assists and three rebounds in 31 minutes.

Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Betting Trends: February 11, 2026

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

• Buffalo has lost eight of its last nine night games against Conference opponents.
• Ball State has won three of its last four home games.
• Ball State has won the first half in three of its last four games against Buffalo.

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

• Buffalo has won five of its last six night games at John E. Worthen Arena.
• Ball State has lost 11 of its last 14 games against the Mid-American Conference.

Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction

I’ll lean toward Buffalo. The Bulls need to get over a road loss to a pretty decent South Alabama team, though. In that one Buffalo shot just 38.1 percent from the field with 14 turnovers and a 34-10 deficit on points in the paint. The Bulls only got to the line six times (making four) in the loss. Buffalo isn’t looking great lately, as they’ve got just one win since January 3. The team is still scoring pretty well overall though.

The last time these teams met up was back on January 3 in the aforementioned win, as Buffalo took it at home 85-72. The Bulls shot very well (56.9 percent) in that one and hit 17-of-18 (94.4 percent) at the line. The turnovers (13) did get a bit high, though. All things considered, this looks like a winnable game and a good opportunity for the Bulls to stop the skid.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Buffalo Bulls -1.5