Bowling Green vs Kansas State Prediction 12/1/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Kansas State Wildcats and Bowling Green Falcons will meet on Monday evening in a non‑conference contest at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas.

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats enter Monday’s contest with a 5–2 win‑loss record. Kansas State has compiled wins over UNC Greensboro, Bellarmine, and South Dakota, while dropping games to BYU and Providence. In the Kansas State Wildcats 98–71 win over Bellarmine earlier this month, junior guard P.J. Haggerty tallied 23 points on 5 of 9 shooting from the field and 2 of 3 shooting from three‑point range.

The Wildcats are averaging 89.4 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting from the field and 38.2 percent shooting from the three‑point line. Defensively, the Kansas State Wildcats are allowing opponents 80.4 points per game.

Junior guard PJ Haggerty has been a standout performer for Kansas State, averaging 26.3 points, 5 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 2 blocks and 1.2 steals per game. Senior guard Nate Johnson is averaging 13.6 points, 6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. Junior guard Abdi Bashir Jr. is averaging 12.7 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons enter Monday’s contest with a 5–2 win‑loss record. Bowling Green has compiled wins over Texas State, Bethany College, Le Moyne, Bucknell, and VMI, while dropping games to Davidson and William & Mary. In the Bowling Green Falcons dominant 81–48 win over VMI last week, forward Mayar Wol scored 21 points on 8 of 11 shooting from the field and 5 of 7 from beyond the arc.

The Falcons are averaging 79.8 points per game on 46.1 percent shooting from the field. Defensively, the Bowling Green Falcons are allowing opponents 65.8 points per game.

Senior guard Javonte Campbell leads the Falcons with 17.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. Sophomore guard Josiah Shackelford is averaging 12.7 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1 assist a contest. Junior forward Mayar Wol provides averages 13 3 points and 2.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Kansas State Wildcats Will Win

•            Explosive offense. The Kansas State Wildcats are averaging 89.4 points per game, led by junior guard PJ Haggerty’s 28.2 points per game.

•            Backcourt depth. Johnson, Bashir, and Castillo provide multiple scoring options alongside Haggerty.

•            Home court advantage. The Wildcats are 4–0 at Bramlage Coliseum this season.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons Will Win

•            Balanced scoring. Campbell, Shackelford, and Wol all averaging over 10 points a game.

•            Defensive efficiency. Bowling Green allows just 65.8 points per game.

•            Momentum. The Falcons enter on a two‑game win streak, including a dominant win over VMI.

Kansas State vs. Bowling Green Prediction

Bowling Green’s best chance to stay competitive is slowing Kansas State’s pace and leaning on Javontae Campbell’s scoring. The Falcons average over 79 points per game, but their defensive efficiency is what gives them a chance here. If they can force contested shots and limit second‑chance opportunities, Campbell and Mayar Wol have the tools to keep the margin manageable through the first half.

Kansas State thrives in high‑tempo contests and has multiple scoring options across its rotation. P.J. Haggerty has emerged as one of the nation’s most explosive guards, while David Castillo and Nate Johnson provide steady secondary scoring. The Wildcats’ offensive firepower, combined with their ability to push pace, makes them difficult to contain for 40 minutes, especially at home.

Ultimately, this matchup comes down to depth and execution. Bowling Green has the talent to make runs, but Kansas State’s relentless pace and balanced attack should gradually separate them in the second half. With Haggerty leading the offense and McGriff providing interior balance, the Wildcats are positioned to cover the spread and extend their strong start to the season. I am backing the Kansas State Wildcats to cover the 13.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Kansas State -13.5