Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction 1/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Boise State vs San Diego State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 3rd at Viejas Arena in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 9-4 (1-1) this season after they defeated New Mexico by a score of 62-53 in their last game. Boise State led 21-19 at halftime and added 41 points in the second half in the win. The Broncos shot 36% from the field, 20% on three pointers, and 64% on free throws in the game. Spencer Ahrens led Boise State with 12 points and eight rebounds, while Drew Fielder added 11 points and five rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Boise State lost to Nevada by a score of 81-66, but did beat St. Mary’s by a score of 68-67 before that. The Broncos have scored 75.8 points per game with 38.2 rebounds and 13.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.1 points against per game this season. Drew Fielder is averaging 13.5 points and 5.2 rebounds per game, while Andrew Meadow is averaging 11.8 points and 3.8 rebounds per game for the Broncos. Boise State is shooting 43.9% from the field, 74.4% on free throws, and 33.7% on three pointers this season. 

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 8-4 (2-0) this year after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 81-68 in their last game. San Diego State led 42-38 at halftime and held SJSU to just 30 points in the second half to secure the win. The Aztecs shot 53% from the field, 55% on three pointers, and 73% on free throws in the game. BJ Davis led San Diego State with 18 points and three rebounds, while Miles Byrd added 11 points and five rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, San Diego State defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 121-59, but lost to Arizona by a score of 68-45 before that. The Aztecs have scored 81.9 points per game with 36.7 rebounds and 16.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.1 points against per game this season. BJ Davis is averaging 12.3 points and 2.8 rebounds per game, while Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 10.5 points and 3.0 rebounds per game for the Aztecs. San Diego State is shooting 48.0% from the field, 75.1% on free throws, and 39.7% on three pointers this year. 

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won each of its last 15 games at Viejas Arena following a road win.
• Boise State has lost seven of its last nine games at Viejas Arena.
• Boise State has lost the first half in six of its last seven games at Viejas Arena.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of San Diego State’s last eight night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138+ points.
• Twelve of Boise State’s last 13 Saturday night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 138+ points.

Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction 

San Diego State comes into this matchup looking to stay undefeated in conference play and they will be at home. The Aztecs have won four of their last five games and they have scored at least 81 points in all four of those wins. Boise State has also won four of their last five and they have allowed 64 points or fewer in two of their last four. The Broncos may be the better defensive team, but San Diego State is better on offense and I trust them at home. Take the Aztecs here.

David Racey's Pick: San Diego State -3.5