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Baylor vs UCF Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Baylor Bears | UCF Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-14 | 20-7 |
| Where | Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FS1 | |
UCF Knights Preview
The UCF Knights have a 20-7 overall record and a 9-6 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off a 97-84 road win against BYU and their previous three games were a 73-71 road win against Utah, an 82-71 home win against TCU and a 74-67 home loss against West Virginia.
Offensively, UCF averages 82 points per game, while allowing 77.4 points per game defensively. The Knights shoot with 48% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.3 assists per game. They average 2.9 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively.
Themus Fulks leads UCF in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 47.7% from the field and 78.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.9 assists. Jamichael Stillwell is the team’s leading rebounder with 8 rebounds per game.
Baylor Bears Preview
The Baylor Bears have a 14-14 overall record and a 4-11 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off an 87-80 home loss against Arizona and their previous three games were a 73-68 home win against Arizona State, a 90-74 road loss against Kansas State and an 82-71 home loss against Louisville.
Offensively, Baylor averages 82.5 points per game, while allowing 76.7 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 48% from the field and grab 37.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.5 assists per game. They average 4.4 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.
Cameron Carr leads Baylor in scoring, with an average of 18.9 points per game, while shooting with 51% from the field and 78.1% from the free throw line. Caden Powell is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.4 per game. Obi Agbim leads the team in assists with 3.1 per game.
Baylor Bears @ UCF Knights Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the UCF Knights will win
- UCF has won 10 of its last 11 games at Addition Financial Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Baylor has lost six of its last seven night games.
- UCF has won the first half in each of its last four games.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won 10 of its last 11 Saturday night games.
- Baylor has won the first half in each of its last five Saturday night games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twenty-four of Baylor’s last 25 Saturday road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
- Each of UCF’s last six home night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCF ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.8).
- UCF ranks 34th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.5).
- Baylor ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.2).
- Baylor ranks 44th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (47.9%).
Baylor vs UCF Prediction
In this Baylor vs UCF Prediction, UCF is coming as -2 home favorites. UCF has been the better team this season and have also been better against the spread, with a 15-12 ATS record, as opposed to Baylor’s 11-16. They are coming off three consecutive wins, while on the other hand, Baylor has been struggling with a 1-5 record in its last 6 games, so the value here lies with the better team, in better form, having the home court advantage. Take UCF and lay the -2 at home in this one.
