Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks

The Baylor Bears and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Thursday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor vs. Texas Tech prediction.

Matchup History

Texas Tech won the lone meeting between these two teams at home back on February 4th, 2025, by a final score of 73-59 to make it back-to-back wins for the Red Raiders in this head-to-head matchup.

Baylor Recap

The Baylor Bears come into this game fresh off of their 70-56 win over Kansas State last time out to book their spot in the quarterfinals of the Big 12 tournament.

Bears Looking For Revenge To Make Semis

Norchad Omier leads Baylor in scoring and rebounding, averaging a double-double per game with 15.6 PPG and 10.7 RPG while Robert Wright III has 11.7 PPG with a team-high 4.5 APG to lead Baylor in the assist department up to this point in the season. Jeremy Roach has chipped in 10.4 PPG with 2.7 APG while VJ Edgecombe has 15 PPG with 5.4 RPG along with 3.3 APG and 2.1 SPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Baylor up to this point in the year. Jayden Nunn has 8.6 PPG with 2.7 RPG while Jalen Celestine has 7.4 PPG with 3.3 RPG. As a team, Baylor is averaging 76.7 PPG on 44.8% shooting from the field, 35.4% from behind the arc and 74.2% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Texas Tech has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
• Baylor has won three of its last four games.

Texas Tech Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into the conference tournament as the 2-seed with a 24-7 record including a 15-5 mark in Big 12 conference play.

Red Raiders Looking To Advance Back To Big 12 Semis, Looking For First Title

JT Toppin leads the Red Raiders in scoring and rebounding with 18.1 PPG and 9.3 RPG while Darrion Williams has 14.3 PPG with 5.1 RPG and 3.8 APG up to this point in the year. Chance McMillian has 14.7 PPG with 4.2 RPG and Christian Anderson has 10.7 PPG and 3 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Texas Tech so far this season. Kevin Overton has 7.9 PPG with 3.6 RPG while Elijah Hawkins also has 9 PPG with a team-high 6.2 APG and 1.7 SPG as well so far this season. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 81.1 PPG on 47.4% shooting from the field, 37.8% from three and 77.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Texas Tech has won each of its last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
• Baylor has lost each of its last six night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Baylor’s last eight night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Eight of Texas Tech’s last nine night games at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Baylor vs. Texas Tech Prediction

I’m on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in this one. I give Baylor their credit for winning against K-State, but Baylor is still just 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and have covered just four times in their last 18 games overall. Texas Tech winning the first meeting handily was no fluke as the Red Raiders are simply the better team by a fair margin in this game. I think Texas Tech could potentially blow the doors off of the Bears in this one. Give me Texas Tech in this game.