Baylor vs Houston Prediction 3/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Baylor vs Houston prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 4th at the Fertitta Center in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 15-14 (5-11) this season after they defeated UCF by a score of 87-86 in their last game. Baylor led 56-42 at halftime, but they were outscored 44-31 in the second half in the close win. The Bears shot 47% from the field, 39% on three pointers, and 82% on free throws in the game. Cameron Carr led Baylor with 26 points and four rebounds, while Dan Skillings Jr added 15 points and four rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to Arizona by a score of 87-80, but did beat ASU by a score of 73-68 before that. The Bears have scored 82.7 points per game with 37.2 rebounds and 15.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.0 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 19.2 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 17.6 points and 5.7 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 47.8% from the field, 72.7% on free throws, and 34.8% on three pointers this season. 

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars are 24-5 (12-4) this year after they defeated Colorado by a score of 102-62 in their last game. Houston led 55-29 at halftime and they added 47 points in the second half in the blowout win. The Cougars shot 60% from the field, 59% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Milos Uzan led Houston with 26 points and six assists, while Joseph Tugler added 14 points and two rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Houston lost to Kansas by a score of 69-56 and Arizona by a score of 73-66. The Cougars have scored 77.5 points per game with 36.8 rebounds and 15.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 62.3 points against per game this season. Kingston Flemings is averaging 16.4 points and 5.2 assists per game, while Emanuel Sharp is averaging 15.8 points and 3.0 rebounds per game for the Cougars. Houston is shooting 44.9% from the field, 77.6% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Houston Cougars will win

• Houston has won each of its last 63 night games at Fertitta Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Baylor has lost each of its last 11 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Baylor has lost the first half in four of its last five games against teams with an AP Ranking of 7.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Houston has lost three of its last four games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eighteen of Houston’s last 19 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Fertitta Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Eight of Baylor’s last nine night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 142+ points.

Baylor vs Houston Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak with a blowout win over Colorado and they will be back at home here. The Cougars are shooting 45% from the field and they have scored 67 points or fewer in three of their last four games. Baylor has won two of their last three games, including their last road game against UCF. The Bears are shooting 48% from the field and they have allowed 82+ points in four of their last five. I don’t think Baylor has the defense to hang around in this game, so I like Houston here.

David Racey's Pick: Houston -15.5