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Ball State vs Toledo Prediction 2/18/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Toledo (15-10) vs Ball State (13-12)

February 18, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toledo -7.5 — Over/Under: 157.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Ball State vs Toledo Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday,  February 18th, at the Savage Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Cardinals’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Rockets’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Ball State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toledo

-Recent betting trends in games played between Ball State and Toledo

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Cardinals and Rockets.

Ball State Offense Has Confidence

Ball State’s offense has a ton of confidence right now and they have won three games in a row. Two games ago against Eastern Michigan, they won 86-64, and in the last game against NIU, they won 89-83. It took overtime in the last game but they scored 13 points and that was enough to come out on top. Juan Sebastian Gorosito had a strong game putting up 24 points, seven rebounds, and one assist. There were five different players that put up at least 12 points. 

Ball State sits with a 13-12 record overall and they have gone 9-13 against the spread. The over has hit in 14 of the games so far this season. Ball State is averaging 76.9 points while their defense is giving up 74.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 103rd in the league while the defense is ranked 269th. Jermahri Hill is averaging 15.9 points while shooting 43.9 percent from the field. 

Toledo is Struggling

Toledo is struggling heading into this game and they have lost two games in a row. Two games ago against Miami (OH), they lost 92-80, and in the last game against Eastern Michigan, they lost 80-73. At halftime, they were down 43-33, and even though they scored 40 points in the second half, they lost. Isaiah Adams had a strong game putting up 13 points, four rebounds, and three assists. There were five different players that put up at least 10 points and they are going to need a balanced attack here. 

Toledo sits with a 15-10 record overall and they have gone 12-11-1 against the spread. At home this season they have gone 6-2. Toledo is averaging 78.6 points while their defense is giving up 78.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 70th in the league, while the defense is ranked 327th. Sonny Wilson has been the top player for Toledo averaging 15.7 points while shooting 52.4 percent from the field. 

Why Toledo Will Beat Ball State

  • Toledo has won 20 of its last 22 games against Conference opponents at Savage Arena.
  • Ball State has lost four of its last five games at Savage Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Ball State has lost the first half in each of its last four road night games against Conference opponents.

Ball State vs Toledo Prediction 

Toledo has found a ton of success at home this season while while Ball State has struggled away from home. The better offensive team here is Toledo and they are averaging 78.6 points per game. Ball State’s defense is going to have no answer here, and that will be the difference here as Toledo is going to end up getting the job done here. Back Toledo to win this game and cover the spread here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Toledo -7.5

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