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Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Bowling Green (12-16) vs Ball State (14-14)

March 1, 2025 at 02:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Bowling Green -1.5 — Over/Under: 149.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Ball State Cardinals and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Stroh Center. Here’s a Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Ball State vs Bowling Green Pick.

Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview 

The Ball State Cardinals lost to Akron, beat Buffalo, and they play Central Michigan and Miami Ohio next. Ball State looks to avoid two straight losses for the first time since January 25-28.

The Ball State Cardinals are averaging 76.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 74.7 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Jermahri Hill is averaging 16.1 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Payton Sparks is averaging 12.9 points and 7.6 rebounds. Mickey Pearson Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Juanse Gorosito is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Ball State Cardinals are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 70.1 percent from the free throw line. The Ball State Cardinals are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview 

The Bowling Green Falcons beat Toledo and Eastern Michigan, and they play Northern Illinois and Western Michigan next. Bowling Green has seen five of its 12 wins this season come in its last seven games. 

The Bowling Green Falcons are averaging 74.6 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 74.9 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Marcus Johnson is averaging 15.6 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Javontae Campbell is averaging 15 points and 4 rebounds. Derrick Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Trey Thomas is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Bowling Green Falcons are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Bowling Green Falcons are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

  • Bowling Green has won five of its last six day games at Stroh Center following a road win.
  • Ball State has lost three of its last four road games against the Mid-American Conference.

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

  • Ball State has won each of its last four day games.
  • Bowling Green has lost five of its last six day games against Conference opponents at Stroh Center.
  • Ball State has won the first half in four of its last five games against the Mid-American Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Bowling Green’s last four games against Conference opponents at Stroh Center have produced a total of 155+ points.
  • Six of Ball State’s last seven road day games against the Mid-American Conference have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ball State ranks 50th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.0%).

Ball State vs Bowling Green Injury Report

Ball State doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Bowling Green will be without Trey Thomas due to a leg injury.

Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction

Ball State waxed Bowling Green in the first meeting, 91-69, so it’s worth a look with the Cardinals and the points. However, Bowling Green has this meeting at home where seven of its 12 wins have come. Bowling Green is also playing its best ball of the season over the last month, winning five games in its last seven tries. Bowling Green should be riding high with confidence heading into March and the fact we’re only laying a bucket makes the Falcons a strong play on Saturday.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Bowling Green -1.5

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