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Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Kentucky (19-9) vs Auburn (26-2)

March 1, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky +5.5 — Over/Under: 165.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Auburn Tigers and the Kentucky Wildcats meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Rupp Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Auburn vs. Kentucky prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have not met yet this season, but Kentucky won the last meeting at Auburn by a final score of 70-59 back on February 17th, 2024. The win made it back-to-back wins for Kentucky in this head-to-head matchup.

Auburn Recap

The Auburn Tigers come into this game looking to secure another road win after picking up a 106-76 win over Ole Miss last time out to improve to 26-2 on the year. After this game, Auburn will head on the road again for a game against Texas A&M.

Tigers Win Five In A Row

Johni Broome leads the Tigers in scoring, rebounding, assists and blocks, averaging a double-double per game with team-highs of 18.6 PPG, 11.1 RPG and 3.4 APG along with 2.6 BPG, while Chad Baker-Mazara has 12.4 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.6 APG. Tahaad Pettiford has 11 PPG with 2.7 APG while Denver Jones has 10.9 PPG and 2.4 APG. Chaney Johnson has 10.3 PPG with 5.1 RPG and Miles Kelly’s added 10.8 PPG with 3.9 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Auburn up to this point in the year. As a team, Auburn is averaging 84.3 PPG on 48% shooting from the field, 36.2% from behind the arc and 74.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

  • Auburn has won 20 of its last 21 games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • Kentucky has lost three of its last four day games.

Kentucky Recap

The Kentucky Wildcats will be out to add on to their 83-82 win over Oklahoma in their last game to sit at 19-9 on the year. After this game, Kentucky will head home for a matchup with LSU.

Wildcats Looking For Some Consistency After Trading Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Otega Oweh leads the Wildcats in scoring with 15.7 PPG along with 4.7 RPG while Koby Brea has 10.9 PPG with 3 RPG. Lamont Butler’s added 12.5 PPG with a team-high 4.6 APG to lead Kentucky in assists and Jaxson Robinson has added 13.3 PPG with 3.7 RPG as well this season. Amari Williams has 10.4 PPG with a team-high 8.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Kentucky up to this point in the season as the Wildcats’ leading rebounder, while Andrew Carr has added 9.8 PPG with 4.7 RPG so far this season. As a team, Kentucky is averaging 85.7 PPG on 48.3% shooting from the field, 37.9% from three and 73.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

  • Kentucky has won 33 of its last 35 day games against the Southeastern Conference at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last 14 games between Auburn and Kentucky have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.
  • Each of Auburn’s last five games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.

Auburn vs. Kentucky Prediction

I’m leaning towards Auburn in this game. Should be a fantastic matchup and I do expect Rupp Arena to be even more raucous than the environment normally is. That being said, Auburn is an experienced and even more importantly, a proven team, that has shown on multiple occasions that they’re capable of going on the road and getting the job done more often than not. Kentucky has a great home court edge, but I think it’s very telling that the Tigers are still laying this many points on the road in a spot like this. Auburn is one of the best in the country, if not the best, and I think they take down Kentucky here. Give me Auburn laying the points on the road here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Auburn -5.5

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