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Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction 12/17/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Texas State Bobcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Spread | -4.5 -102 | +4.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | -148 | +124 |
| Total | Over 150.5 (-108) | Under 150.5 (-112) |
| Where | Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX | |
| When | Wednesday, December 17, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost to Rice, beat Little Rock, and they play Southern Miss next. Arkansas State has won 4 of its last 5 games.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 80.4 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 79.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Joey Chammaa is averaging 19 points and 2 rebounds, while TJ Caldwell is averaging 1.4 points and 1 assist. Chandler Jackson is the third double-digit scorer and Jaxon Ellingsworth is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 28.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats lost to Rice, beat Southern, and they play South Alabama next. Texas State has lost 3 of its last 4 games.
The Texas State Bobcats are averaging 81.4 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 73.1 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Mark Drone is averaging 13.2 points and 2.3 rebounds, while DJ Hall is averaging 11.8 points and 7.3 rebounds. Dimp Pernell is dishing 1.9 assists and Makai Willis is dishing 0.5 assists. The Texas State Bobcats are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Texas State Bobcats are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Texas State has won each of its last eight games at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Arkansas State has lost seven of its last nine games at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center.
- Arkansas State has lost the first half in six of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Arkansas State has won five of its last six games against Conference opponents.
- Texas State has lost three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas State’s last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
- Six of Texas State’s last seven night games against the Sun Belt Conference have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas State ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.4).
- Texas State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.74).
Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction
Arkansas State is probably the better team and is 7-3 ATS on the season. Texas State has hit a rough patch lately, losing 3 of its last 4 games, and that includes a bad loss to Lehigh. However, Texas State is 7-0 SU at home this season and has the offensive horses to cause problems for teams. Arkansas State has had issues defending at times and this will be a third straight road game. We just saw Arkansas State lose to Rice in the favorite role. Texas State is a tough out at home. Give me the points.
