Arkansas State vs St. Mary’s Prediction 11/19/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Saint Mary’s Gaels meet Wednesday in the college basketball action at the University Credit Union Pavilion. Here’s a Arkansas State vs St. Mary’s Prediction. This article will include a Arkansas State vs St. Mary’s Pick.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost to Stephen F. Austin, beat Missouri State, and they play SMU next. Arkansas State has won 9 of its last 12 games.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 83.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 69.5 points on 47 percent shooting. Joey Chammaa is averaging 19 points and 2 rebounds, while Chandler Jackson is averaging 14.5 points and 3.8 assists. Jaxon Ellingsworth is the third double-digit scorer and TJ Caldwell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 27 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 29.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview

The Saint Mary’s Gaels beat Ohio and North Texas, and they play Wichita State next. Saint Mary’s has won 13 of its last 15 games.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels are averaging 85.3 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 58.3 points on 36.8 percent shooting. Mikey Lewis is averaging 22 points and 3.3 assists, while Paulius Murauskas is averaging 17 points and 8 rebounds. Joshua Dent is grabbing 3 rebounds and Liam Campbell is dishing 0.5 assists. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are shooting 44.8 percent from beyond the arc and 83.5 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are allowing 28.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

• Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 18 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
• Arkansas State has lost the first half in each of its last five road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won nine of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Arkansas State’s last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147+ points.
• Sixteen of Saint Mary’s’ last 18 night games have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Saint Mary’s ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (62.5%).
• Saint Mary’s ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (83.5%).
• Arkansas State ranks T36th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
• Arkansas State ranks T37th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (21.0).

Arkansas State vs St. Mary’s Prediction

Arkansas State has a couple of outright upset road wins over Ohio and Missouri State, but St. Mary’s is obviously in a different class. St. Mary’s is 4-0 SU and ATS this season, covering double-digit chalk in every game. St. Mary’s looks great on both sides of the ball, and that defensive pressure is likely the difference in this spot. I question if Arkansas State has the athletes to really scare St. Mary’s. The season is still young, but St. Mary’s looks legit on both sides of the ball and should be playing into March. I’ll lay the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: St. Mary's -19.5