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Arizona vs Houston Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks

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Houston (29-4) vs Arizona (21-11)

March 15, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston -6.5 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Wildcats and Houston Cougars meet on Saturday in college basketball action at T-Mobile Center. Here’s an Arizona vs Houston prediction. This article will include an Arizona vs Houston Pick.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview

The Arizona Wildcats (22-11, 18-15 ATS), have experienced significant inconsistency, recording five losses in their final eight regular-season games, which led to a third-place finish in the Big 12 standings. Among these losses were matches against ranked teams such as Houston, Iowa State, and Kansas. However, Arizona successfully avenged their earlier defeat to the Jayhawks by winning 88-77 in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament and then edged out Texas Tech in the semis.

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Arizona averages 82.2 PPG (23rd) and allows 72.2 PPG (193rd). The Wildcats are 22nd in rebounds (39.8) and 34th in assists (16.7). Caleb Love leads the team with 16.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.6 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Jaden Bradley follows him with 11.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 3.8 APG, and a team-high 1.8 SPG, while KJ Lewis chips in 10.8 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.9 APG, and 1.4 SPG.

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars (29-4, 17-15-1 ATS) are one of the hottest teams in the country. They were on a 13-game winning streak that snapped with a narrow overtime loss to Texas Tech, but the Cougars won ten consecutive games to clinch the No.1 seed in the Big 12. Houston defeated ranked Arizona, Iowa State, and Texas Tech during this positive rune, while in the tournament, the Cougars beat Colorado and BYU.

Houston is averaging 74.3 PPG (173rd) and is allowing 58.4 PPG (1st). The Cougars are getting 36.2 RPG (146h) and dish out 12.3 APG (327th). L.J. Cryer is the team’s top performer with 15.3 PPG and 2.2 RPG. Emanuel Sharp has 12.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, a team-high 1.4 SPG, while Milos Uzan contributes 11.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, a team-high 4.3 APG, and 1.1 SPG.

Why Houston will beat Arizona

  • Houston has won each of its last 12 games.
  • Arizona has lost four of its last five day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Arizona’s last eight games has produced a total of 141+ points.
  • Five of Houston’s last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 136+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Houston ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.7).
  • Houston ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+25.6).
  • Arizona ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (55.1%).
  • Arizona ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.3%).

Arizona vs Houston Prediction

Arizona won three of the five H2H encounters, but all those wins were between 2006 and 2009. Houston was better in the last two meetings, including the one they played this season when Houston secured a 62-58 victory at Arizona. The Wildcats scored 88 and 86 points in its first two games of the tournament, but Houston’s defense is the best in the country and Arizona should be lucky if it comes close to 70 points here. Houston is one of the strongest teams in basketball and I seriously doubt the Wildcats can cause them problems. I am going with the Cougars to win and cover.

 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Houston -6.5

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