Alcorn State vs Alabama State Prediction 3/9/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Alcorn State vs Alabama State Prediction for this SWAC Tournament 1st Round matchup on Monday, March 9th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 10-21 overall record and a 7-11 record in the SWAC conference. They are coming off a 65-63 home loss against Grambling and their previous three games were a 71-64 home loss against Southern, an 89-88 road win against Alabama A&M and a 76-63 road loss against Florida A&M.

Offensively, Alabama State averages 73.4 points per game, while allowing 77.3 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 42% from the field and grab 36.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.3 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 8.3 steals per game defensively.

Asjon Anderson leads Alabama State in scoring, with an average of 14.5 points per game, while shooting with 35% from the field and 83.5% from the free throw line. Jalen Stanback is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.6 per game. Micah Simpson leads the team in assists with 3.5 per game.

Alcorn State Braves Preview

The Alcorn State Braves have an 8-22 overall record and a 7-11 record in the SWAC conference. They are coming off an 83-48 home win against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and their previous three games were a 67-64 home win against Mississippi Valley State, a 72-51 road loss against Prairie View A&M and a 92-87 road loss against Texas Southern.

Offensively, Alcorn State averages 66.9 points per game, while allowing 81.2 points per game defensively. The Braves shoot with 42% from the field and grab 29.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.2 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.

Tycen McDaniels leads Alcorn State in scoring, with an average of 11.9 points per game, while shooting with 54% from the field and 76.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.8 rebounds. Jameel Morris leads the team in assists with 2.9 per game.

Alcorn State Braves @ Alabama State Hornets Betting Trends: March 9, 2026

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

Alcorn State has lost each of its last six Conference Tournament day games.
Alabama State has won each of its last three Conference Tournament games.
Alabama State has won the first half in each of its last three games.

Why the Alcorn State Braves will win

Alcorn State has won eight of its last 10 games against Alabama State.
Alabama State has lost four of its last five games.
Alcorn State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Alabama State.

Total Points Facts

Nine of Alcorn State’s last 10 games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
Six of Alabama State’s last seven games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

Alabama State ranks T39th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.3).
Alabama State ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (13.9).
Alcorn State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (50.2%).
Alcorn State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (44.8%).

Alcorn State vs Alabama State Prediction

In this Alcorn State vs Alabama State Prediction, Alabama State is coming as -6.5 favorites. Alabama State has been the better team this season but Alcorn State has been better against the spread. Both teams are struggling lately, as they are 1-4 and 1-3 in their last 5 and 4 games respectively, but Alabama State has won its previous meeting against Alcorn State this season by 81-66 on the road. Alabama State has also been better both on the offensive and the defensive end, as Alcorn State is bottom-30 in the entire nation in both categories. Take Alabama State to win this one comfortably and cover the spread.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Alabama State -6.5