Dec 7, 2025; Stanford, California, USA;  UNLV Runnin' Rebels center Emmanuel Stephen (34) celebrates with UNLV Runnin' Rebels forward Kimani Hamilton (2) after a basket at the buzzer at the end of the first half at Maples Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images
David Gonzales-Imagn Images

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction 1/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Air Force Falcons UNLV Runnin Rebels
Team Records 3-10 6-6
Spread +15.5 -112 -15.5 -108
Moneyline +950 -1650
Total Over 143.5 (-105) Under 143.5 (-115)
Where Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
When Saturday, January 3, 2026
Time 05:00 PM EST
TV MWN

In this article we will formulate an Air Force vs UNLV prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 3rd at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Air Force Falcons are 3-10 (0-2) this year after they lost to Wyoming by a score of 68-56 in their last game. Air Force trailed 36-26 at halftime and only managed 30 points in the second half in the loss. The Falcons shot 50% from the field, 8% on three pointers, and 55% on free throws in the game. Caleb Walker led Air Force with 17 points and five rebounds, while Kam Sanders added 15 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Air Force lost to San Diego State by a score of 81-58 and Navy by a score of 61-56. The Falcons have scored 64.8 points per game with 30.9 rebounds and 12.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.7 points against per game this season. Kam Sanders is averaging 12.5 points and 4.2 rebounds per game, while Caleb Walker is averaging 12.4 points and 4.9 rebounds per game for the Falcons. Air Force is shooting 44.9% from the field, 63.7% on free throws, and 30.6% on three pointers this year. 

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels are 6-6 (1-0) this season after they defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 89-47 in their last game. UNLV led 49-19 at halftime and cruised to the easy win in the second half. The Rebels shot 47% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 87% on free throws in the game. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn led UNLV with 19 points and three assists, while Tyrin Jones added 15 points and four rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, UNLV defeated Fresno State by a score of 84-72, but lost to Tennessee State by a score of 63-60 before that. The Rebels have scored 81.8 points per game with 37.6 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 78.8 points against per game this season. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn is averaging 17.3 points and 3.4 rebounds per game, while Kimani Hamilton is averaging 13.2 points and 5.2 rebounds per game for the Rebels. UNLV is shooting 46.2% from the field, 69.4% on free throws, and 28.5% on three pointers this season. 

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

  • Air Force has lost 27 of its last 28 games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • UNLV has won seven of its last eight games against Air Force.
  • UNLV has won the first half in five of its last six day games against Air Force at Thomas & Mack Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirteen of Air Force’s last 14 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
  • Seven of UNLV’s last eight games against the Mountain West Conference Conference at Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction 

Air Force comes into this contest having another rough season and they have lost six games in a row. The Falcons are shooting 45% from the field and they have scored 58 points or fewer in three straight. UNLV has won three of their last four games and they have scored at least 84 points in their last two. The Rebels are shooting 46% from the field, but they do have two below average losses to Tennessee State and Rutgers over the last month. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here, especially with Air Force struggling to score, so I like the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 144.5

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