Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

The Air Force Falcons are visiting the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday, Match 1st at The Pit. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction. We will examine:

The New Mexico Lobos recent form and player performance

The Air Force Falcons recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving New Mexico Lobos

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Air Force Falcons

Recent betting trends in games played between Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos game

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 22-6 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off a 65-73 loss in San Diego State. The Lobos are 13-14 against the spread, and 13-14 in over/under, while having a 14-1 home record.

Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 82.3 points per game, which is the 22nd-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.6 points per game (176th). The Lobos shoot with 46% from the field (112th), and with 35.4% from beyond the arc (102nd). The Lobos shoot with 69% from the free-throw line (288th), and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game, which is the 17th-best in the nation.

Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 19.9 points and a team-high 6.5 assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph adds 13.5 points and a team-high 10.8 rebounds per game.

Air Force Falcons Preview

The Air Force Falcons have a 4-24 record this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the Mountain West. The Falcons are coming off a 55-77 loss by Colorado State. The Falcons are 9-19 against the spread, and 16-12 in over/under, while having a 0-12 road record.

Offensively, Air Force is averaging 62.4 points per game, which is just 360th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.5 points per game (201st). The Falcons shoot with 42.4% from the field (309th), and with 33.5% from beyond the arc (214th). The Falcons shoot with 63.9% from the free-throw line, which is just 358th in the nation, and are grabbing 29.8 rebounds per game (356th).

Ethan Taylor leads Air Force in scoring with an average of 14.1 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 5.6 and in assists made with 3.6 per game.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• Air Force has lost 21 of its last 22 games against the Mountain West Conference.
• New Mexico has won each of its last nine home games.
• Air Force has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• New Mexico has lost the first half in each of its last four games against the Mountain West Conference.

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction

New Mexico is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against Air Force, but Air Force is 4-3 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, New Mexico won 88-53 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, New Mexico is coming as -23.5 home favorites. New Mexico is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season and have been almost perfect at home, with just one loss in their 15 home games. On the other hand, Air Force is winless in their 12 road games this season, and have been on a free fall lately, with a 1-9 record in their last 10 games and 1-8 against the spread. New Mexico is 8-2 in their last 10 games and 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 home games. The Lobos destroyed the Falcons in their previous meeting this season by 35 points, and I expect them to blow them out of the water once again today.