Abilene Christian vs Missouri State Prediction 11/16/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Abilene Christian vs Missouri State Prediction

I’m staying with Missouri State. The Bears have three wins in three games so far, but if there’s a knock it’s that they haven’t played anyone of any consequence whatsoever just yet. Still, the Bears don’t control their schedule of course; they’re just playing through the games and doing what they have to do. Missouri State is coming off a 27-point win over Newman, shooting 57 percent from the field with just 25 percent allowed on defense. The Bears have gotten outmuscled on the boards in consecutive games now (41-40 against Newman), so that could be a concern moving forward in the tougher matchups.

As for Abilene Christian, they have just one win in three games so far and are coming off a five-point loss at the hands of Stephen F. Austin. In that one Abilene Christian didn’t shoot terribly from the field (42 percent) and had a reasonable 71 percent (20-of-28) from the line alongside a 39-35 rebounding advantage. The Wildcats did give up 50 percent shooting on defense though, which is ultimately what buried them. Abilene Christian is going to have a tricky defensive matchup here as well and I don’t think they’ve got the goods to hold Missouri State in check.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Abilene Christian Wildcats and the Missouri State Bears meet Monday in college basketball action from JQH Arena in Springfield. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Abilene Christian vs Missouri State prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Abilene Christian vs Missouri State pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Abilene Christian Wildcats Betting Preview

The Wildcats have three games completed so far with only one win to show for it. Abilene Christian opened up on the road versus Colorado, falling big 94-59. The Wildcats shot just 39 percent from the field with 20 percent from outside and a 39-24 rebounding deficit in that one. Game two was Abilene Christian’s first and only win so far, an 83-81 effort over Lamar. The Wildcats shot 51 percent from the field in that one but also missed some free throws (13-of-22 for 59 percent) and had 17 turnovers.

The Wildcats fell back into the loss column in game four 76-71 versus Stephen F. Austin. Abilene Christian was led by Willan Marie-Anais in the defeat with 16 points and nine rebounds. Isaac Dye added 11 points with five boards and two steals while Evan Boisdur had 10 options with four assists and two rebounds in the losing effort for the Wildcats.

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they have three wins in the bag over three outings this year. Missouri State took out Lincoln MO 88-60 in their opener, shooting 55 percent from the field with a 44-31 rebounding edge. As for game two, that was a win 79-62 versus Truman State. The Bears hit 47 percent from the field with just 32 percent allowed on defense but did get out-hustled on the boards 45-40.

Matched up against Newman in game three, the Bears cruised to an 89-62 win. Missouri State’s leading scorer was Trey Williams with 26 points, eight assists and three rebounds.

Abilene Christian Wildcats @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: November 16, 2026

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Missouri State has won each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents at Great Southern Bank Arena.
• Abilene Christian has lost seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Abilene Christian has lost the first half in seven of its last eight road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Missouri State Bears -6.5