Colorado State (23-9) vs Utah State (26-6)
Game Info: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 11:59 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)
Betting Odds: Colorado State -1 -- Over/Under: 149.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: CBSSN
The Colorado State Rams are facing the Utah State Aggies on Friday, March 14th at the Thomas & Mack Center, in the second Mountain West semifinal between the 2nd seed and the 3rd seed of the conference. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Utah State Aggies vs Colorado State Rams Prediction. We will examine:
The Utah State Aggies recent form and player performance
The Colorado State Rams recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado State Rams
Recent betting trends in games played between the Utah State Aggies vs Colorado State Rams
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Colorado State Rams vs Utah State Aggies game
Colorado State Rams Preview
The Colorado State Rams have a 23-9 record this season and were placed 2nd in the Mountain West. Colorado State is coming off a 67-59 win over Nevada in the conference quarterfinals last night. The Rams are 19-13 against the spread, and 17-14-1 in over/under.
Offensively, Colorado State is averaging 75.2 points per game, which ranks 140th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.3 points per game (51st). The Rams shoot with 47.8% from the field (37th), and with 35.7% from beyond the arc (83rd). The Rams shoot with 78.9% from the free throw line, which is the 14th-best in the nation, and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game (195th).
Nique Clifford leads Colorado State in scoring this season, with an average of 18.6 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 9.8, and in assists made with 4.3 per game. Jalen Lake adds 11.3 points and 2.9 rebounds per game.
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Utah State Aggies Preview
The Utah State Aggies have a 26-6 record this season and were placed 3rd in the Mountain West. Utah State is coming off 70-58 win over UNLV in the conference quarterfinals last night. The Aggies are 16-15 against the spread, and 15-14-2 in over/under.
Offensively, Utah State is averaging 81.2 points per game, which is the 28th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.6 points per game (99th). The Aggies shoot with 49.4% from the field, which is the 9th-best in the nation, and with 37.1% from beyond the arc (39th). The Aggies shoot with 70.6% from the free-throw line (240th), and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game (223rd).
Ian Martinez leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 16.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists, while Mason Falsley adds 14.7 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 6.2, and in assists made, with 3.8 per game.
Why the Colorado State Rams will win
- Colorado State has won each of its last eight games.
- Colorado State has won the first half in six of its last seven games at Thomas & Mack Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Utah State has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 Friday games against the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Colorado State's last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
- Each of Utah State's last four games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Colorado State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (79.0%).
- Colorado State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.9%).
- Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.7).
- Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.66).
Utah State Aggies vs Colorado State Rams Prediction
Colorado State is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against Utah State, but Utah State is 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 meetings, and both teams are tied 1-1 wins this season, with each one winning at home. Colorado State won by 93-66 and Utah State by 93-85, as both games went over the point total.
In this Utah State Aggies vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, Colorado State is coming as -1-point favorites. The wrong team might be favored here, as the Aggies have a better record this season and both teams have exactly 7 wins away from home. Colorado State is in better form lately, as they are 8-0 in their last 8 games and have covered the spread in all, while Utah State is 2-2 in their last 4 and 2-2 against the spread. While both of their meetings this season where high scoring ones, both teams are 7-3 to the under in their last 10 games, and both played excellent defense in the quarterfinals, holding their opponents into less than 60 points. I expect a low-scoring affair, dominated by strong defenses, so give me the under 149.5 points in this one.
Nikos’s Pick Under 149.5
AUTHOR: Nikos Lagouretos
