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Albany vs UMBC Prediction 2/27/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
UMBC (13-16) vs Albany ()
February 27, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: UMBC +1.5 — Over/Under: 155.5
The Albany Great Danes and UMBC Retrievers meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. Here’s an Albany vs UMBC Prediction. This article will include an Albany vs UMBC Pick.
Albany Great Danes Betting PreviewÂ
The Albany Great Danes beat Maine, lost to New Hampshire, and they play NJIT and Vermont next. Albany has won each of its last three road games.
The Albany Great Danes are averaging 74.3 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 73.9 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Byron Joshua is averaging 13.9 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Amar’e Marshall is averaging 13.5 points and 2.4 assists. Justin Neely is the third double-digit scorer and DeMarr Langford Jr. is dishing 1.4 assists. The Albany Great Danes are shooting 31 percent from beyond the arc and 72.6 percent from the free throw line. The Albany Great Danes are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.2 rebounds per game.
UMBC Retrievers Betting PreviewÂ
The UMBC Retrievers lost to UMASS Lowell, beat NJIT, and they play Vermont next. UMBC looks to win two straight games for the first time this month.
The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 80.8 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 78.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Bryce Johnson is averaging 17.2 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Marcus Banks Jr. is averaging 15.9 points and 3.9 rebounds. Josh Odunowo is the third double-digit scorer and Ace Valentine is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 69.3 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.5 rebounds per game.
Why the UMBC Retrievers will win
- UMBC has won five of its last six games against UAlbany.
- UAlbany has lost 10 of its last 13 road night games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in five of the last six games between UAlbany and UMBC.
Why the UAlbany Great Danes will win
- UAlbany has won each of its last five road games following a home loss.
- UMBC has lost five of its last six night games against the America East Conference at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UMBC’s last five night games against the America East Conference has produced a total of 157+ points.
- Twenty-six of UAlbany’s last 30 road night games against the America East Conference have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- UMBC ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.3).
- UMBC ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.3%).
- UAlbany ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (18.8).
- UAlbany ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.5).
Albany vs UMBC Injury Report
Neither Albany nor UMBC have a player listed on its injury report.
Albany vs UMBC Prediction
This line is a bit confusing when you consider there’s not much separating between Albany and UMBC. If anything, UMBC has won eight of the last 10 games against Albany and that includes an overtime win over the road as a four-point underdog last month. UMBC has seen eight of its 13 wins come at home this season. UMBC has these offensive explosions and is fresh off a game against NJIT where it scored 95 points. Given the history between Albany and UMBC, it’s hard to turn down the free bucket with the Retrievers.