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Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

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Ball State (13-13) vs Buffalo (8-18)

February 22, 2025 at 02:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ball State -9.5 — Over/Under: 151.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday,  February 22nd, at the Worthen Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Bulls’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Cardinals’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Buffalo

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Ball State

-Recent betting trends in games played between Buffalo and Ball State

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Bulls and Cardinals. 

Buffalo’s Offense is Struggling

The Buffalo offense has had some major issues heading into this game, which has led to two straight losses. Two games ago against Bowling Green, they lost 63-59, and in the last game against Western Michigan, they lost 97-64. At halftime in the last game, they were down 52-23, and any kind of fight they put in the second half just wasn’t enough. The top offensive player for Buffalo was actually Brayden Jackson, who came off the bench and put up 14 points in only 13 minutes of play. The defense was obviously an issue, but they need to find a way to get the offense going in this game. 

All season has been a struggle for Buffalo, and they sit with an 8-18 record overall. Away from home, they have only picked up three wins in 13 attempts. For the most part, this season, the offense hasn’t been an issue; it’s been the awful defense. The Bulls are averaging 71.7 points, while their defense is giving up over 81 points per game. The defense being strong in the first half is going to need to happen to have any chance. Buffalo isn’t dealing with any injuries heading into this game. 

Why Buffalo Will Beat Ball State

  • Buffalo has won six of its last seven games at John E. Worthen Arena.

Ball State Fell Just Short

In the last game, Ball State faced off against the Toledo Rockets, and they fell just short. Ball State scored 66 points, while the defense gave up 67 points. At halftime, they were up 35-28, but in the second half, they blew it. Center Payton Sparks was a matchup nightmare, putting up 16 points, nine rebounds, and one assist. There were three different players that ended up with 13 points. 

Ball State has a 13-13 record overall; they have gone 5-5 at home. They have been the true definition of middle-of-the-road so far this season. Ball State wants to get up and down, but at times, the defense has suffered. Ball State is averaging 76.5 points, while their defense is giving up 74.5 points per game. As a team, they are shooting 46.38 percent, which is 99th in the league. Jermahri Hill is having a huge season, averaging 15.9 points while shooting 43.7 percent from the field. I expect Ball State to try to push the pace in this game. 

Why Ball State Will Beat Buffalo

  • Buffalo has lost 11 of its last 12 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Ball State has won five of its last six day games at John E. Worthen Arena.
  • Ball State has won the first half in four of its last five games against Conference opponents

Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction

Buffalo and Ball State are both strong offensive teams, and defense is going to be optional here. Ball State is averaging 76.5 points, and they get to face off against a defense in Buffalo that is giving up over 81 points per game. Ball State’s defense isn’t exactly elite, and they are giving up 74.5 points per game, which means Buffalo is going to have one of their better offensive outputs of the year. If you like scoring, make sure to turn it in, because there will be plenty of it. Back the over to cash here. This game is getting close to 160. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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