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Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction 2/18/25 College Basketball Picks

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Michigan State (20-5) vs Purdue (19-7)

February 18, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Michigan State -3.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday,  February 18th, at the Breslin Center. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Boilermakers’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Spartans’  recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Michigan State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Purdue

-Recent betting trends in games played between Michigan State and Purdue

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Boilermakers and Spartans. 

Purdue Suddenly Struggling?

Purdue is suddenly struggling, and they have lost two games in a row. Two games ago against Michigan, they lost 75-73 and in the last game against Wisconsin, they ended up losing 94-84. In the second half, the defense gave up 58 points and that led to the defeat. They allowed Wisconsin to shoot 61.5 percent from the field and that type of defense has to be better. Trey Kaufmann-Renn had a strong game putting up 30 points, five rebounds, and four assists. There were three different players that put up at least 13 points. 

Purdue sits with a 19-7 record overall, and they have gone 15-11 against the spread. Away from home this season they have gone 5-3. Purdue is averaging 78.7 points while their defense is giving up 69.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 68th in the league while the defense is ranked 124th. Trey Kaufman-Renn is averaging 19.4 points while shooting 60.9 percent from the field. Purdue will take on Indiana and UCLA after this game.

Michigan State Looks for Real


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Michigan State looks like they are for real and they are coming off another key win in the last game. Michigan State scored 79 against Illinois on the road and that was enough for the 14-point victory. At halftime, they were down but in the second half they outscored them 42-24 and that was an easy win. Jaxon Kohler had a strong game putting 23 points and 10 rebounds. Two games ago against Indiana, they didn’t play as well, and they ended up losing 71-67. 

Michigan State sits with a 20-5 record overall and they have gone 15-9-1 against the spread. At home this season they have gone 12-1 against the spread. Michigan State is averaging 79.3 points while their defense is giving up 67.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 64th in the league while the defense is ranked 61st in the league. Jaden Akins has been the top player this season averaging 13.2 points while shooting 41.9 percent from the field. 

Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction

Give me Michigan State here. Michigan State has been elite at home this season and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Purdue’s offense is averaging 78.7 points per game but this is a much tougher battle and they are going to struggle to get the offense going here. Michigan State is going to score at least 78 points here, and they will end up picking up the victory. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Michigan State -3.5

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