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Iowa vs Maryland Prediction 2/16/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Maryland (19-6) vs Iowa (14-10)

February 16, 2025 at 05:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Maryland -11.5 — Over/Under: 158.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Iowa Hawkeyes are visiting the Maryland Terrapins on Sunday, February 16th at the XFINITY Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction. We will examine:

The Maryland Terrapins’ recent form and player performance

The Iowa Hawkeyes’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Maryland Terrapins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Iowa Hawkeyes

Recent betting trends in games played between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Maryland Terrapins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins game

Maryland Terrapins Preview

The Maryland Terrapins have a 19-6 record this season and are sitting in 6th place in the Big Ten. Maryland is coming off an 83-75 win over Nebraska. The Terrapins are 13-12 against the spread, and 15-9-1 in over/under, while having a 14-1 home record.

Offensively, Maryland is averaging 82.8 points per game, which is the 20th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.8 points per game (49th). The Terrapins shoot 48.3% from the field (31st) and 37% from beyond the arc (47th). The Terrapins shoot 74% from the free-throw line (104th) and are grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game (110th).

Derik Queen leads Maryland in scoring with an average of 15.9 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Ja’Kobi Gillespie adds 14.3 points and a team-high 4.7 assists per game.

Iowa Hawkeyes Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes have a 14-10 record this season and are sitting in 13th place in the Big Ten. The Hawkeyes are coming off an 84-73 win over Rutgers. The Hawkeyes are 10-14 against the spread, and 13-11 in over/under, while having a 1-5 road record.

Offensively, Iowa is averaging 84.5 points per game, which is the 11th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 78.6 points per game (335th). The Hawkeyes shoot 49.6% from the field, which is the 7th-best in the nation, and 37.8% from beyond the arc (27th). The Hawkeyes shoot 68.8% from the free-throw line (281st) and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game (323rd)

Owen Freeman leads Iowa in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and a team-high 6.7 rebounds, while Payton Sandfort adds 16.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game.

Why the Maryland Terrapins will win

  • Maryland has won each of its last 12 games at XFINITY Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Iowa has lost nine of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Maryland has won the first half in each of its last nine day games.

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

  • Iowa has won five of its last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Iowa has won the first half in each of its last four games against Maryland.

Total Points Facts

  • Sixty-eight of Maryland’s last 72 games against Conference opponents at XFINITY Center have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
  • Eight of Iowa’s last nine day games have produced a total of 161+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Maryland ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.0).
  • Maryland ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+22.9).
  • Iowa ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.8).
  • Iowa ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (31.3).

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction

Iowa is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against Maryland, but Maryland is 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Maryland won 78-66 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, Maryland is coming as a -11.5 home favorites. Maryland is rightfully favored, as they have a better record, and have been almost perfect in their 15 home games this season, while on the other hand, Iowa has been terrible on the road. the Terrapins are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 games, while the Hawkeyes are struggling, as they are 1-7 against the spread in their last 8. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the Maryland Terrapins and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Maryland Terrapins -11.5

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