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Baylor vs Houston Prediction 2/10/25 College Basketball Picks

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Houston (19-4) vs Baylor (15-8)

February 10, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston -8.5 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Baylor vs Houston prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, February 10th at the Fertitta Center in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 15-8 (7-5) this year after they defeated UCF by a score of 91-76 in their last game. Baylor led 45-36 at halftime and added 46 points in the second half to pull away in the win. The Bears shot 53.3% from the field, 32% on three-pointers, and 86.4% on free throws in the game. Norchad Omier led Baylor with 18 points and 12 rebounds, while VJ Edgecombe added 17 points and five assists in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Bears lost to Texas Tech by a score of 73-59 but did beat Kansas by a score of 81-70 before that. Baylor has won four of their last six games and they are currently tied for fifth in the Big 12 standings with a 7-5 record. Baylor has scored 80.0 points per game and they have allowed 69.6 points per game, while also averaging 36.6 rebounds and 15.6 assists per game this year. Norchad Omier is averaging 15.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game, while VJ Edgecombe is averaging 15.0 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game this season. Baylor is shooting 45.9% from the field, 74.2% on free throws, and 36.3% on three-pointers this year. 

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars are 19-4 (11-1) this season after they defeated Colorado by a score of 69-59 in their last game. Houston led 31-27 at halftime and added 38 points in the second half to secure the win. The Cougars shot 48.2% from the field, 40% on three-pointers, and 60% on free throws in the game. J’Wan Roberts led Houston with 20 points and four rebounds, while LJ Cryer added 15 points and six rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that victory, the Cougars defeated Oklahoma State by a score of 72-63 but did lose to Texas Tech by a score of 82-81 before that. Houston has won 15 of their last 16 games and they are currently leading the Big 12 standings (with Arizona) with an 11-1 record. Houston has scored 75.7 points per game and they have allowed 57.0 points per game, while also averaging 38.1 rebounds and 13.0 assists per game this season. LJ Cryer is averaging 14.3 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game, while J’Wan Roberts is averaging 11.8 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 1.3 steals per game this year. Houston is shooting 45.9% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 39.3% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Houston will beat Baylor

  • Houston has won each of its last 53 night games at Fertitta Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Baylor has lost five of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Baylor has lost the first half in each of its last four night games against Conference opponents.

Why Baylor will beat Houston 

  • Baylor has won 18 of its last 19 Monday night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Sixteen of Baylor’s last 17 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 138+ points.
  • Five of Houston’s last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Fertitta Center have produced a total of 127 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Houston ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+18.8).
  • Houston ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.6).
  • Baylor ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (102.7).
  • Baylor ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.18).

Baylor vs Houston Prediction 

Houston comes into this contest with an 11-1 conference record and they will be at home for this game. The Cougars did lose at home against Texas Tech a few games ago, but they have been pretty dominant so far this season. Houston’s offense is pretty average, but their defense is elite, as they are allowing 57.0 points per game this year. Baylor has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are just 1-3 in their last four road games, with two double-digit losses. The Bears are shooting 45.9% from the field this year and they have scored 81+ points in three of their last four games. This will be an interesting game, as Houston has faced a little adversity over their last five games, but I do think we can hit this total with a struggling Baylor defense. Take the over in this game. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 132.5

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