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Valparaiso vs Drake Prediction 1/22/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Drake (16-2) vs Valparaiso (10-9)

January 22, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Drake -14 — Over/Under: 129.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Valparaiso Crusaders and Drake Bulldogs meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the Knapp Center. Here’s a Valparaiso vs Drake Prediction. This article will include a Valparaiso vs Drake Pick.

Valparaiso Crusaders Betting Preview

The Valparaiso Crusaders lost to Belmont and UIC, and they play Evansville, Southern Illinois, and Illinois State next. The Valparaiso Crusaders are averaging 77.7 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 73.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Cooper Schwieger is averaging 14.4 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Tyler Schmidt is averaging 12.4 points and 3.5 rebounds. Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro is the third double-digit scorer and All Wright is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Valparaiso Crusaders are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free throw line. The Valparaiso Crusaders are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game.

Drake Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Drake Bulldogs beat Illinois State and Indiana State, and they play Missouri State, Northern Iowa, and Southern Illinois next. The Drake Bulldogs are averaging 71 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 57.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Bennett Stirtz is averaging 17.3 points and 4 rebounds, while Daniel Abreu is averaging 11.6 points and 0.8 assists. Mitch Mascari is the third double-digit scorer and Tavion Banks is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Drake Bulldogs are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free throw line. The Drake Bulldogs are allowing 29.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Drake Bulldogs will win

  • Drake has won each of its last 18 night games at Knapp Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Valparaiso has lost 19 of its last 20 Wednesday night road games against the Missouri Valley Conference.
  • Valparaiso has lost the first half in 15 of its last 18 night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Valparaiso’s last 19 Wednesday night games against the Missouri Valley Conference has produced a total of 136+ points.
  • Nine of the last 10 games between Valparaiso and Drake have produced a total of 131+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Drake ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (46.7).
  • Drake ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (57.1).
  • Valparaiso ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (13.1%).
  • Valparaiso ranks 45th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.3%).

Valparaiso vs Drake Injury Report

Neither Valparaiso nor Drake have a player listed on its injury report.

Valparaiso vs Drake Prediction

The Valparaiso Crusaders haven’t been able to have success when stepping up in competition, and they’re subpar at best defensively. The Drake Bulldogs are the team to beat in the MVC, and they’re elite at both ends of the floor. Drake is looking like an NCAA Tournament team that can make some noise. Drake is 9-1 SU at home and has covered three of its last four games. It’s a thick line, but I’m not stepping in front of Drake at home, especially for a subpar team at best in Valparaiso. The Valparaiso Crusaders have covered nine of the last 10 games against Drake, but I’m still leaning toward the Bulldogs at home on Wednesday night. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Drake -14

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