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San Francisco vs Pepperdine Prediction 1/16/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Pepperdine (7-10) vs San Francisco (14-5)

January 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Pepperdine +5.5 — Over/Under: 147.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Francisco Dons are visiting the Pepperdine Waves on Thursday, January 16th at the Firestone Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Francisco Dons vs Pepperdine Waves Prediction. We will examine:

The Pepperdine Waves’ recent form and player performance

The San Francisco Dons’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pepperdine Waves

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco Dons

Recent betting trends in games played between San Francisco Dons and Pepperdine Waves

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the San Francisco Dons vs Pepperdine Waves game

Pepperdine Waves Preview

The Pepperdine Waves have a 7-10 record this season and are sitting in the 9th place in the West Coast. The Waves are coming off an 87-70 win over Pacific. The Waves are 9-7 against the spread, and 9-7 in over/under, while they have a 5-3 home record. Pepperdine is coming off three consecutive losses, but are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 games. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Offensively, Pepperdine is averaging 74.3 points per game, which ranks 219th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.5 points per game (220th). The Waves shoot 46% from the field (135th) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (155th). The Waves shoot 72% from the free-throw line (173rd) and are grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game (149th).

Stefan Todorovic leads Pepperdine in scoring this season, with an average of 19.5 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Moe Odum adds 13.1 points and a team-high 7.4 assists. 

San Francisco Dons Preview

The San Francisco Dons have a 14-5 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place in the West Coast. The Dons are coming off a 54-77 loss to Santa Clara. The Dons are 7-10-1 against the spread, and 9-9 in over/under, while having a 1-3 road record.

Offensively, San Francisco is averaging 76.7 points per game, which ranks 144th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.1 points per game (77th). The Dons shoot 46.4% from the field (108th) and 34.8% from beyond the arc (129th). The Dons shoot 68.1% from the free-throw line (289th) and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game (178th).

Malik Thomas leads San Francisco in scoring this season, with 20.3 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Marcus Williams adds 13.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and a team-high 4.3 assists.

Why the Pepperdine Waves will win

  • The home team has won seven of San Francisco’s last eight games.
  • San Francisco has lost three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Pepperdine has won the first half in seven of its last eight games at Firestone Fieldhouse against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the San Francisco Dons will win

  • San Francisco has won each of its last nine games at Firestone Fieldhouse.
  • Pepperdine has lost eight of its last nine night games.
  • Pepperdine has lost the first half in each of its last five night games against the West Coast Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Pepperdine ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (16.9).
  • San Francisco ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.77).
  • San Francisco ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.5).

San Francisco Dons vs Pepperdine Waves Head-to-Head

San Francisco is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Pepperdine, but Pepperdine is 6-4 against the spread. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, San Francisco won 92-68 at home, covering the spread, and the game went over the point total.

San Francisco Dons vs Pepperdine Waves Prediction

In this San Francisco Dons vs Pepperdine Waves Prediction, San Francisco is coming as a -5.5 road favorites. The Dons are the superior team in this matchup but have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. On the other hand, the Waves are inferior in every single statistical category, so I cannot make a case for them as home dogs. Both teams are 10-3 to the over in their last 13 games, and I expect another high-scoring affair today, as both teams have been terrible defensively lately. Take the over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 147.5

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