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Samford vs Mercer Prediction 1/15/25 College Basketball Picks

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Mercer (9-8) vs Samford (14-3)

January 15, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Mercer +5.5 — Over/Under: 164.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Samford vs Mercer prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, January 15th at Hawkins Arena in Macon, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Samford Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Samford Bulldogs are 14-3 (4-0) this year after they defeated UNC Greensboro by a score of 76-69 in their last game. Samford led 36-28 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite being outscored in the second half. The Bulldogs shot 48.1% from the field, 37.5% on three-pointers, and 73.9% on free throws in the game. Trey Fort led Samford with 21 points and two rebounds, while Rylan Jones added 16 points and six assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Bulldogs defeated VMI by a score of 81-68 and Western Carolina by a score of 88-69. Samford has won five games in a row and 10 of their last 11, and they are the only undefeated team in the SoCon. Samford has scored 87.5 points per game and they have allowed 74.9 points per game, while also averaging 36.1 rebounds and 18.2 assists per game this year. Trey Fort is averaging 15.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game, while Jaden Brownell is averaging 14.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 1.1 assists per game this season. Samford is shooting 47.9% from the field, 71.8% on free throws, and 37.9% on three-pointers this year. 

Mercer Bears Betting Preview

The Mercer Bears are 9-8 (2-2) this season after they lost to Western Carolina by a score of 85-82 in their last game. Mercer led 44-40 at halftime, but they allowed 45 points in the second half for the loss. The Bears shot 38% from the field, 26.9% on three-pointers, and 61.8% on free throws in the game. Alex Holt led Mercer with 21 points and 11 rebounds, while Ahmad Robinson added 18 points and 13 rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Bears lost to East Tennessee State by a score of 70-68 but did beat VMI by a score of 70-67 before that. Mercer has won three of their last five games and they opened conference play with a 99-94 win over Chattanooga. Mercer has scored 81.9 points per game and they have allowed 76 points per game, while also averaging 38.8 rebounds and 15.1 assists per game this season. Ahmad Robinson is averaging 16.2 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game, while Tyler Johnson is averaging 16.0 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game this year. Mercer is shooting 45.6% from the field, 66.7% on free throws, and 33.8% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Samford will beat Mercer


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  • Samford has won each of its last eight games against Conference opponents.
  • Mercer has lost 12 of its last 15 night games against Conference opponents.
  • Mercer has lost the first half in four of its last five night games.

Samford vs Mercer Prediction 

Samford comes into this matchup with a 14-3 record on the season and they are undefeated in conference play, but they will be on the road for this contest. The Bulldogs are scoring over 87 points per game this year and while they do have some poor defensive numbers, they have allowed 69 points for fewer in four straight. Mercer has lost two games in a row and they allowed 85 points in their last game. The Bears are a high-scoring team as well, but they are allowing 76 points per game this season. The home court will definitely help Mercer in the first half in my opinion, but I just don’t think they can keep pace with this Samford offense. Take the Bulldogs to cover on the road. 

David Racey's Pick: Samford -5.5

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