Vanderbilt vs Missouri Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

Missouri (12-3) vs Vanderbilt (13-2)

Game Info: Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 3:30 pm (Mizzou Arena)

Betting Odds: Missouri -3.5 -- Over/Under: 156.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: SEC Network

In this article, we will formulate a Vanderbilt vs Missouri prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 11th at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, South Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 13-2 (1-1) this year after they lost to Mississippi State by a score of 76-64 in their last game. Vanderbilt trailed 39-28 at halftime, but they did score 36 points in the second half in the loss. The Commodores shot 35.5% from the field, 19.2% on three-pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. AJ Hoggard led Vanderbilt with 18 points and three assists, while Grant Huffman added 12 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Commodores defeated LSU by a total of 80-72 and New Orleans by a score of 100-56. Vanderbilt has won seven of their last eight games and their only other loss of the season was against Drake by a score of 81-70. Vanderbilt has scored 84.6 points per game and they have allowed 67.1 points per game, while also averaging 37.1 rebounds and 15.3 assists per game this year. Jason Edwards is averaging 17.1 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game, while Devin McGlockton is averaging 11.2 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game this season. Vanderbilt is shooting 47.9% from the field, 73.9% on free throws, and 32.4% on three-pointers this year. 

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 12-3 (1-1) this season after they defeated LSU by a score of 83-67 in their last game. Missouri led 42-27 at halftime and added 41 points in the second half in the win. The Tigers shot 46.3% from the field, 48% on three-pointers, and 77.8% on free throws in the game. Tamar Bates led Missouri with 20 points and eight rebounds, while Anthony Robinson II added 16 points and four assists in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Tigers lost to Auburn by a score of 84-68 but did beat Alabama State by a score of 82-65 before that. Missouri has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but they have won 12 of their last 13 games. Missouri has scored 85.7 points per game and they have allowed 68.7 points per game, while also averaging 34.7 rebounds and 13.7 assists per game this season. Mark Mitchell is averaging 13.1 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game, while Tamar Bates is averaging 13.1 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 1.8 steals per game this year. Missouri is shooting 49.8% from the field, 72.7% on free throws, and 36.9% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Missouri will beat Vanderbilt 

  • Missouri has won each of its last 11 games at Mizzou Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Vanderbilt has lost 17 of its last 22 games against Conference opponents.
  • Vanderbilt has lost the first half in three of its last four day games against Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (78.4%).
  • Missouri ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (10.5).
  • Vanderbilt ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.70).
  • Vanderbilt ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+17.5).

Vanderbilt vs Missouri Prediction 

Vanderbilt comes into this matchup with a 13-2 record on the season, but they are coming off of a loss against Mississippi State last time out. The Commodores have played a relatively easy schedule so far this year and their best win is probably against LSU. Vanderbilt is scoring over 84 points per game this year, but they did struggle last time out. Missouri has been slightly inconsistent over their last five games, but they do have a very solid win over Kansas. The Tigers are shooting nearly 50% from the field and two of their three losses came against very good teams. I haven’t been overly impressed with Vanderbilt this season and they really haven’t been tested very much, so I will side with the home team here. 

David’s Pick Missouri -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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