Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 11th, at the Trojan Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Red Wolves’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Trojans’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arkansas State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Troy

-Recent betting trends in games played between Arkansas State and Troy

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Red Wolves and Trojans. 

How Does Troy Bounce Back

Troy comes into this game with a 10-5 record overall, but it was sure a disappointing loss in the last game. At halftime, they were up 41-32, but in the second half they were awful and they ended up losing 74-73. Tayton Conerway put up 15 points, four assists, and one rebound. That wasn’t enough with the way the defense looked though, and that led to the defeat. Two games ago against Marshall, it was a close game, but they were able to secure the 58-57 victory. They only scored 19 points in the first half, but in the second half, they played better. 

Troy on the season is averaging 73.7 points while their defense is giving up 65.9 points per game. The offense is ranked 221st in the league while the defense is ranked 54th in the league. They are averaging 15.8 free throws per game which is 72nd in the league. Forward Myles Rigsby is averaging 12.1 points while shooting 45.7 percent from the field and 25 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Arkansas State Didn’t Look Great

Arkansas State overall this season has been good, but they are coming off a game where they really struggled. Arkansas State scored 62 points, but the defense gave up 76 points against South Alabama, and that led to the defeat. At halftime, they were down 41-31 and they couldn’t bounce back. Taryn Todd was the top player putting up 18 points, three rebounds, and one assist. Joseph Pinion put up 17 points, nine rebounds, and two assists. 

Arkansas State is averaging 78.2 points while their defense is giving up 70.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 108th in the league while the defense is ranked 166th. They are averaging 64.4 shot attempts per game which is 23rd in the league. They are grabbing 37.4 total rebounds per game which is 17th in the league. Taryn Todd is averaging 16.5 points while shooting 39.7 percent from the field and 37.2 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Arkansas State Will Beat Troy

• Arkansas State has won 12 of its last 14 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction

Arkansas State is going to have no issue running up the score here. Arkansas State is averaging 78.2 points and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Troy’s defense is giving up 65.9 points per game and they are going to really struggle to defend in this game. Look for Arkansas State to pull away, even on the road, and they will end up covering the spread. Back Arkansas State against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Arkansas State +1.5