Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/5/25

Pick details

Hawaii (8-5) vs Cal Poly (6-9)

January 5, 2025 at 12:00 AM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Hawaii -7.5 / Cal Poly +7.5 — Over/Under: 153

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cal Poly Mustangs are visiting the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday, January 4th at the SimpliFi Arena at Stan Sheriff Center We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction. We will examine:

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors’ recent form and player performance

The Cal Poly Mustangs’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends in games played between Cal Poly Mustangs and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors game

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have an 8-5 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 73-70 win over Oakland. The Rainbow Warriors are 5-5 against the spread, and 7-3 in over/under, while having an 8-2 home record.

Offensively, Hawaii is averaging 73.2 points per game, which ranks 246th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.2 points per game (122nd). The Rainbow Warriors shoot 46.6% from the field (115th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (235th). The Rainbow Warriors shoot 69.1% from the free-throw line (251st) and are grabbing 36.3 rebounds per game (188th).

Gytis Nemeiksa leads Hawaii in scoring with an average of 14.7 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Marcus Greene adds 11.8 points.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 6-9 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big West. They are coming off an 89-98 loss to UC Irvine. The Mustangs are 6-8 against the spread and 11-3 in over/while having a 2-7 road record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 83.9 points per game, which is 35th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 85.7 points per game, which is the 4th-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot 47.5% from the field (79th) and 35% from beyond the arc (134th). The Mustangs shoot 76% from the free throw line (61st) and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game (170th).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 18.5 points and a team-high 5.4 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 16.1 points, 3.3 rebounds, and a team-high 3 assists

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

  • Cal Poly has lost each of its last 24 games against the Big West Conference.
  • Hawaii has won each of its last 10 home games against Cal Poly.
  • Hawaii has won the first half in each of its last 16 games against Cal Poly.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

  • Hawaii has lost each of its last three games against the Big West Conference.
  • Hawaii has lost the first half in each of its last three games against the Big West Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Hawaii ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.4).
  • Hawaii ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (17.0).
  • Cal Poly ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (11.2).
  • Cal Poly ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (76.2).

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction

Hawaii has won their last 8 meetings against Cal Poly, but Cal Poly is 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Hawaii won 80-51 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total. In this Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction, Hawaii is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Cal Poly is better offensively, scoring 10.7 points more than Hawaii, while Hawaii is better defensively, allowing 16.5 points less. The Rainbow Warriors are winning by an average of 4 points this season, while the Mustangs are losing by an average of 1.8 points. Cal Poly is struggling lately, as they are 1-5 in their last 6 games and have failed to cover the spread in six straight games. Hawaii has been strong at home and is playing its sixth consecutive home game, and I expect them to take care of business in this one. Take the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and lay the points at home.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -7.5

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