Utah State vs Nevada Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/31/24

Pick details

Nevada (8-5) vs Utah State (12-1)

December 31, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Nevada -3 / Utah State +3 — Over/Under: 144.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah State Aggies are visiting the Nevada Wolf Pack on Tuesday, December 31st at the Lawlor Events Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Utah State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction.

Nevada Wolf Pack Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack have an 8-5 record this season and are coming off a 63-66 loss over Wyoming. The Wolf Pack are 8-5 against the spread, and 4-9 in over/under, while having a 6-2 home record. 

Offensively, Nevada is averaging 75.5 points per game, which ranks 190th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.2 points per game (62nd). The Wolf Pack shoot 49.3% from the field, which is the 34th-best in the nation, and 41.7% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the nation. The Wolf Pack shoot 69.9% from the free-throw line (223rd) and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game (295th).

Kobe Sanders leads Nevada in scoring, with an average of 15.2 points, 3.2 rebounds, and a team-high 4.4 assists, while Nick Davidson adds 15 points and a team-high 6.4 rebounds.

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 12-1 record this season and are coming off a 67-66 win over San Diego State. The Aggies are 7-5 against the spread, and 3-7-2 in over/under while having a 2-0 road record. 

Offensively, Utah State is averaging 83.9 points per game, which is the 38th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.7 points per game (72nd). The Aggies shoot 48.7% from the field (49th) and 33.7% from beyond the arc (191st). The Aggies shoot 75.4% from the free-throw line (71st) and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game (107th).

Mason Falsley leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 17.2 points and a team-high 6.3 rebounds, while Ian Martinez adds 17 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists. Utah State will take on Fresno State after this game.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

  • Nevada has won 32 of its last 35 night games at Lawlor Events Center.
  • Utah State has lost five of its last six games at Lawlor Events Center.
  • Nevada has won the first half in six of its last seven night games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won 12 of its last 13 games.
  • Nevada has lost each of its last three games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • Utah State has won the first half in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Utah State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction

Nevada is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against Utah State, and are 3-1 against the spread. Over is 6-3 in their last 9 meetings and in their most recent meeting last season, Nevada won 77-63 on the road. In this Utah State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, Nevada is coming as -3 home favorites. Utah State is better both offensively, scoring 8.4 points more than Nevada, and defensively, allowing 0.5 points less. The Aggies are winning by an average of 18.2 points this season, while the Wolf Pack are winning by 9.3 points. Both teams are playing excellent defense this season, as they rank in the top 70 of the nation, allowing 131.9 points per game combined. Both teams are also involved in lower-scoring games recently, as they are 14-3-1 to the under in their last 18 games combined. I expect another low-scoring affair, so take the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 144.5

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