UC Davis vs Sacramento State Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/14/24

The UC-Davis Aggies are visiting the Sacramento State Hornets on Saturday, December 14th at The Nest. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC-Davis Aggies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 2-7 record this season and are coming off a 60-70 loss to Omaha. The Hornets are 3-4-1 against the spread, and 2-6 in over/under, while they have a 1-3 home record. 

Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 67.2 points per game, which ranks 326th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.9 points per game (99th). The Hornets shoot 43.3% from the field (260th) and 34.7% from beyond the arc (146th).  The Hornets shoot 66.9% from the free-throw line (297th) and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game (224th).

Jacob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 15.8 points and a team-high 6.2 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 10.8 points. Sacramento State will play against Oregon State following this one.

UC-Davis Aggies Preview

The UC-Davis Aggies have a 4-4 record this season and are coming off a 71-60 win over UC Santa Barbara. The Aggies are 4-3 against the spread, and 3-4 in over/under while having a 1-3 road record.

Offensively, UC-Davis is averaging 70.2 points per game, which ranks 299th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.7 points per game (246th). The Aggies shoot 41.9% from the field (302nd) and 33.7% from beyond the arc (186th). The Aggies shoot 76.2% from the free-throw line (50th) and are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game (323rd).

TY Johnson leads UC-Davis in scoring this season, with 21.6 points and 4.7 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba adds 12.1 points and a team-high 5.7 rebounds. UC Davis will take on Idaho and Pepperdine after this game.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• UC Davis has lost each of its last 10 Saturday night games.
• Sacramento State has won four of its last five games against UC Davis.
• UC Davis has lost the first half in each of its last five night games against the Big Sky Conference.

Why the UC Davis Aggies will win

• Sacramento State has lost nine of its last 10 night games against non-conference opponents.
• The road team has won three of Sacramento State’s last four games.
• Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

UC-Davis Aggies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction

Sacramento State is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against UC-Davis and is 4-1 against the spread. In their most recent meeting last season, Sacramento State won 69-63 on the road. In this UC-Davis Aggies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, UC-Davis is coming as -6.5 road favorites. UC Davis is better offensively, scoring 3 points more than Sacramento State, while Sacramento State is better defensively, allowing 5.8 points less. Both teams are struggling offensively, as they rank in the bottom 60 of the nation in points scored, with just 137.4 points per game combined, while they are also below average in shooting percentages. The Aggies are a bottom-60 team in field goal percentage, and both teams have been involved in lower-scoring games this season, as they are 10-5 to the under combined. Expect a low-scoring affair and take the under.