Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/4/24

Pick details

Minnesota (6-3) vs Michigan State (6-2)

December 4, 2024 at 08:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota +5.5 / Michigan State -5.5 — Over/Under: 128.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Michigan State Spartans are visiting the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Wednesday, December 4th at the Williams Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a 6-3 record this season and are coming off a 79-62 win over Bethune Cookman. The Golden Gophers are 1-6-2 against the spread, and 2-7 in over/under while having a 6-1 home record. 

Offensively, Minnesota is averaging 64.4 points per game, which ranks 344th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 58.9 points per game, which is the 13th-best nationally. The Golden Gophers shoot 42.8% from the field (262nd) and 29.3% from beyond the arc (313th). The Golden Gophers shoot 61.4% from the free-throw line (351st) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (263rd).

Dawson Garcia leads Minnesota in scoring with an average of 19.1 points and a team-high 7 rebounds, while Lu’Cye Patterson adds 9.8 points, 3 rebounds, and 3.9 assists. Minnesota will play against Indiana and FDU following this game.

Michigan State Spartans Preview

The Michigan State Spartans have a 6-2 record this season and are coming off a 94-91 win in North Carolina. The Spartans are 4-4 against the spread, and 3-5 in over/under while playing their first road game this season.

Offensively, Michigan State is averaging 80.5 points per game, which ranks 98th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 69.9 points per game (153rd). The Spartans shoot 47.2% from the field (96th) and just 22.4% from beyond the arc, which is dead last in the whole nation. The Spartans shoot 78.5% from the free-throw line (25th) and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game (48th).

Jaden Akins leads Michigan State in scoring this season with 12.9 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while Frankie Fidler adds 11.4 points and 4.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win

  • Minnesota has won eight of its last nine home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Michigan State has lost six of its last eight road night games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against the Big Ten Conference.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

  • Michigan State has won each of its last 12 Wednesday games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Minnesota has lost each of its last four night games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Michigan State has won the first half in eight of its last nine night games against Minnesota.

Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction

Michigan State is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Minnesota, but Minnesota is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings. In this Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, Michigan State is coming as a -5.5 road favorite. Michigan State is better offensively, scoring 16.1 points more than Minnesota, while the Golden Gophers are better defensively, allowing 11 points less. Both teams are very good defensively, allowing 128.8 points per game combined, while Minnesota is a bottom-20 team offensively. Both teams are 12-5 to the under combined this season, so I’m expecting another low-scoring affair today. Take the under the total.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 128.5

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