Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/3/24

Pick details

Wisconsin (8-0) vs Michigan (6-1)

December 3, 2024 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Wisconsin -3 / Michigan +3 — Over/Under: 149.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Michigan Wolverines are visiting the Wisconsin Badgers on Tuesday, December 3rd at the Kohl Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Michigan Wolverines vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction.

Wisconsin Badgers Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers have a perfect 8-0 record this season and are coming off a 74-53 win over Chicago State. The Badgers are 4-3-1 against the spread, and 7-1 in over/under while having a 6-0 home record.

Offensively, Wisconsin is averaging 85.3 points per game, which ranks 32nd in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 69.3 points per game (142nd). The Badgers shoot 46.8% from the field (109th) and  35.9% from beyond the arc (104th). The Badgers shoot 89.4% from the free throw line, which is the best in the nation, and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game (226th).

John Tonje leads Wisconsin in scoring this season, with an average of 22.9 points and 5.4 rebounds, while John Blackwell adds 14.9 points and 4.4 rebounds. Wisconsin will take on Marquette, Illinois, and Butler after this game.

Michigan Wolverines Preview

The Michigan Wolverines have a 6-1 record this season and are coming off a 78-53 win in Xavier. The Wolverines are 5-2 against the spread, and 2-5 in over/under, while playing their first road game of the season.

Offensively, Michigan is averaging 80.9 points per game, which ranks 90th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 60.1 points per game, which is the 17th-best nationally. The Wolverines shoot 50.4% from the field, which is the 22nd-best in the nation, and 38.5% from beyond the arc (38th). The Wolverines shoot 66.7% from the free throw line (293rd) and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game (175th).

Tre Donaldson leads Michigan in scoring this season, with an average of 13 points and a team-high 4 assists, while Roddy Gayle adds 12 points and 3.1 rebounds. Michigan will play against Iowa following this one.

Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win

  • Wisconsin has won each of its last 21 games at Kohl Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Michigan has lost each of its last nine games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Michigan has lost the first half in each of its last nine games against the Big Ten Conference.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win


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  • Michigan has won each of its last six night games.
  • Wisconsin has lost four of its last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage against Michigan.
  • Michigan has won the first half in each of its last seven games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Wisconsin’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Kohl Center have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Michigan’s last eight night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Michigan Wolverines vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction

Michigan is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against Wisconsin, but the Badgers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Wisconsin. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Wisconsin. In their most recent meeting back in February, Michigan won 72-68 at home. In this Michigan Wolverines vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Wisconsin is coming as -3 home favorites. Wisconsin is better offensively, scoring 4.4 points more than Michigan, while Michigan is better defensively, allowing 9.2 points less. The Wolverines also have elite shooting percentages, ranking in the top 40 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage, while Wisconsin is just outside the top 100. The value here lies with the road team, as I fully expect them to keep this a close game, if not win outright. Take the Michigan Wolverines at +3 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Michigan Wolverines +3


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