Long Beach State vs San Jose State Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/27/24

Pick details

San Jose State (2-5) vs Long Beach State (1-7)

November 27, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Jose State -3.5 / Long Beach State +3.5 — Over/Under: 128

(Get latest betting odds)

The Long Beach State Beach are visiting the San Jose State Spartans on Wednesday, November 27th at the Lee’s Family Forum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Long Beach State Beach vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction.

San Jose State Spartans Preview

The San Jose State Spartans have a 3-5 record this season and are coming off a 69-64 win in UNC Greensboro. The Spartans are 1-4 against the spread, and 3-2 in over/under while having a 4-0 home record. 

Offensively, San Jose State is averaging 68.9 points per game, which ranks 305th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.4 points per game (148th). The Spartans shoot 43.7% from the field (237th) and  32.4% from beyond the arc (224th). The Spartans shoot 79.4% from the free-throw line, which is the 24th-best in the nation, and are grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game (319th).

Josh Uduje leads San Jose State in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Will McClendon adds 13.4 points and 3.1 rebounds.

Long Beach State Beach Preview

The Long Beach State Beach have a 1-7 record this season and are coming off a 44-70 loss in UTEP. The Beach is 1-6 against the spread, and 2-5 in over/under, while they have a 0-3 road record. 

Offensively, Long Beach State is averaging 63.6 points per game, which ranks just 344th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.7 points per game (196th). The Beach shoot with 39.6% from the field (340th), and 31.2% from beyond the arc (263rd). The Beach shoot 67.3% from the free-throw line (267th) and are grabbing 38.4 rebounds per game (132nd).

Devin Askew leads Long Beach State in scoring with an average of 16.6 points and a team-high 4 assists, while TJ Wainwright adds 11 points.

Why the Long Beach State Beach will win

  • San Jose State has lost 15 of its last 18 night games.
  • San Jose State has lost the first half in 12 of its last 15 night games.

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

  • Long Beach State has lost each of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
  • San Jose State has won four of its last five night games against the Big West Conference.
  • Long Beach State has lost the first half in each of its last seven night games against non-conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Long Beach State ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (20.9%).
  • Long Beach State ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.1).
  • San Jose State ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.9%).
  • San Jose State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.8).

Long Beach State Beach vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction

Long Beach State has won both previous meetings against San Jose State, covering the spread in both. In this Long Beach State Beach vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, San Jose State is coming as -3.5 home favorites, and while I like the under in this game, the 130 total points is way too low. The value here lies with the home team, as the Spartans are better offensively, scoring 5.3 points more than the Beach, and have a better defense, allowing 2.3 points less. Both teams struggle to shoot the ball, but Long Beach State is just terrible, ranking in the bottom 25 in field goal percentage. Take the San Jose State Spartans and lay the points at home.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Jose State Spartans -3.5

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