Missouri vs Memphis Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/4/24

Pick details

Memphis (0-0) vs Missouri (0-0)

Game Info: Monday, November 4, 2024 at 8:00 pm (FedExForum)

The Line: Betting Odds: Memphis -4.5 / Missouri +4.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Missouri Tigers and Memphis Tigers meet Monday in college basketball action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Missouri vs Memphis Prediction. This article will include a Missouri vs Memphis Pick.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers won 8 games last season and enter year 3 under coach Dennis Gates. Missouri hasn’t gone two straight seasons of single digit wins since the 1960s. Missouri plays Howard and Eastern Washington after this game.

Tamar Bates returns after averaging 13.5 points and 3 rebounds, while Caleb Grill averaged 8.4 points and 5.8 rebounds. Anthony Robinson II played in 398 minutes last season, and Aidan Shaw averaged 3.8 rebounds in 16.1 minutes. Missouri also had a hell of a recruiting class and snagged Duke transfer Mark Mitchell, who averaged 11.6 points and 6 rebounds last season. The SEC is stacked, and it’s hard to take Missouri seriously after last year, but there’s talent on this roster. The Tigers could be a sneaky bounce back year.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

The Memphis Tigers won 22 games last season and enters year 7 under coach Penny Hardaway. Memphis follows up this game with contests against UNLV and Ohio.

Nicholas Jourdain returns after averaging 6.5 points and 4 rebounds, while Noah Stansbury played in 3 minutes last season. Those are the only two returning players for Memphis. It’s clear Memphis is a completely new team from a year ago, but reinforcements are there in Texas transfer Tyrese Hunter and Oklahoma State transfer Moussa Cisse. Hunter was the Big 12 freshman of the year in 2022 and Cisse is a two-time Big 12 all-defensive selection. Memphis isn’t as stacked as it’s been in past years in terms of raw talent, and it’s certainly going to take time for all of these new faces to come together. Memphis has a few weeks to figure things out before a date with UConn.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Missouri has lost each of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Memphis has won 20 of its last 21 games against non-Conference opponents at FedExForum.
  • Memphis has won the first half in eight of its last nine Monday games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Missouri’s last six day games have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
  • Each of Memphis’ last three games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Memphis ranked 31st among Division 1 teams for points per game last season (80.5).
  • Memphis ranked 41st among Division 1 teams for pace last season (71.2).
  • Missouri ranked T30th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game last season (4.8).

Missouri vs Memphis Prediction

The Missouri Tigers have the ability to spring an upset, but I’d need more points to pull the trigger. The Memphis Tigers have underachieved the last couple of seasons, but the talent is there to have a breakthrough. It’s going to take time to feel these teams out, but Memphis has higher upside. The line isn’t anything crazy. I’ll lay the chalk with Memphis at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis Tigers -4.5

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