Western Kentucky vs Toledo Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Western Kentucky and Toledo meet Saturday in college football action from the Glass Bowl. Here’s a Western Kentucky vs Toledo prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Toledo Rockets vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers pick. We will examine:

The Western Kentucky HIlltoppers’ recent form and player performance

The Toledo Rockets’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Hilltoppers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Dukes

Recent betting trends in games played between Western Kentucky and Toledo

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Toledo vs Western Kentucky game.

Strong Start for Western Kentucky 

It has been a strong start to the season for Western Kentucky and they were dominant in the first game. Western Kentucky scored 41 points and the Bearkats, and even though the defense did show some holes, it was still a comfortable victory. It was the offense in the second and third quarters that ended up being the difference in the win. Western Kentucky is known for their passing offense, and it’s no different this season. Maverick McIvor is under center, and he completed 33 of his 51 passes for 401 yards and three touchdowns. He’s going to be a big problem this season. 

Marvis Parrish was the top running back, and he finished with 12 carries for 52 yards. Matthew Henry was also a star, and he caught seven passes for 148 yards and a touchdown. In this game, I would like to see a little improvement from the defense. 

Why Western Kentucky Will Beat Toledo

The underdog has won three of Toledo’s last four games.
Toledo has lost four of its last six games as a favorite.
Western Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last six games in September.
Toledo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Toledo Put up a Fight

Toledo might be coming into this game 0-1. But they were competitive, and can take some real positives away from their game. Toledo scored 16 points against Kentucky, and the defense didn’t play awful giving up 24 points. Tucker Gleason was under center and he completed 23 of his 40 passes for 270 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He had 270 pasing yards but the running game could leave a little bit to be desired. 

As a team, they only rushed for 59 yards. The defense was impressive against the run though, giving up only 85 yards. It’s going to be another test here for the defense, and the pass defense is going to need to be good. The only way they come out on top is if they slow down the pass in a big way. 

Why Toledo Will Beat Western Kentucky

Toledo has won each of its last seven September games at Glass Bowl.
Western Kentucky has lost four of its last five road openers.
Toledo has covered the spread in six of its last seven home openers.
Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road openers as an underdog.

Western Kentucky vs Toledo Prediction

This line is a bit shocking, and at worst, I think this should be a pick ’em. Western Kentucky is an elite offensive team and that starts with the passing game. McIvor threw for over 400 yards in the first gam,e and although he might not reach that number here, I do expect the passing offense is going to be fine. Tucker Gleason is also good, but the Rockets defense isn’t going to make many stops, which is going to be enough to keep WKU in the game. Don’t be shocked if the Hilltoppers win this game outright, but we will take the points to be safe. Back Western Kentucky against the spread.